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GETLER: Good morning, everybody. Welcome to today's on-the-record meeting of the Council
on Foreign Relations. We certainly have a lot to talk about.
And just so there's no confusion, since we're about the same size and same age and we both
wear our glasses on the edge of our nose, this fellow on my right is the very distinguished
senator from Michigan, Carl Levin, and I'm Mike Getler, the PBS ombudsman.
Senator Levin is, of course, the widely respected chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee,
served for 36 years when he retires in January. He literally needs no introduction to this
group, and he has some remarks before we get started with the questioning, so I'm not going
to say much.
I am -- I would like to say, however, that while journalists are supposed to be the ones
with the nose for news, that I must congratulate the Council and the senator for superb timing
for this discussion and look at American foreign and defense policy. It is, of course, the
13th anniversary of the terrible events of September 11, 2001. It's a week since the
senator returned from a trip to Iraq and Ukraine. And it's just hours since President Obama
spoke to the nation on the challenges now confronting us.
So, Senator Levin, you have the floor, sir.
LEVIN: Up here? Thank you.
GETLER: I guess, yes.
LEVIN: Michael, thanks, first of all, for all your good work, for your introduction,
and it's great to be back at the Council on Foreign Relations again. I think this is three
years in a row, perhaps. As I came up on the elevator, I was reminded that we're also here
-- as Michael mentioned -- on the anniversary of the horrific events of September 11, 2001,
so this is a very appropriate time to talk about these issues.
I just returned from a trip to Ukraine, Iraq and Jordan. That's the type of trip, by the
way, that does not make it into the Washington Post series on congressional junkets to choice
travel destinations.
(LAUGHTER)
Current events in these countries are a direct consequence of two of the most dramatic transformations
in international environment that I've seen in my 36 years in the Senate. First, the end
of the Cold War and, second, the rise of a virulent strain of Islamic extremism.
Russia's actions in Ukraine are a direct challenge to the post-Cold War hopes for Europe. In
effect, Putin has asserted a new sphere of influence, or reasserted an old one, in which
he believes he can act with impunity to impose Russia's will, much as the Soviet Union did
in Eastern Europe during the Cold War.
In many ways, Putin's actions in Ukraine have been a wake-up call to which the Western democracies
are beginning to respond in a way in which we did not do in the case of the Russian occupation
of territory in Georgia and Moldova -- Moldova, excuse me.
In light of Ukraine's proximity to Russia, Russia's overwhelming military advantages
in the area, and Putin's apparent willingness to violate the norms of international conduct,
there's little that Ukraine would be able to do to stop a direct large-scale Russian
military action should Russia choose to invade openly. NATO will not go to war with Russia
over Ukraine, nor should we lead the Ukrainians to believe that we will, as we tragically
did with the Hungarians in 1956.
So what should the United States and our allies do in Ukraine? First, we should continue to
find ways to make it clear to the Russians that they cannot reject the post-Cold War
order in Europe while continuing to participate in the European economy at the same time.
That's why sanctions are important and must stay in place even if a cease-fire is effective
until Russia conforms its actions to the norms of international behavior.
Second, we should do more to help the Ukrainians defend themselves. The Ukrainians emphasized
to me on my visit that they are willing to fight for themselves, and as long as they
understand that we will not be sending our own men and women to fight for them, I believe
we should provide them with the military equipment that they need. That means both lethal and
nonlethal equipment, including MRAPs and other equipment that would otherwise be shredded
or abandoned as we leave Afghanistan.
We should do this because assisting people who are willing to fight to defend their own
country and their own freedom reflects our values. Providing such equipment would enable
the Ukrainians to raise the price the Russians have to pay for their aggression and hopefully
make Putin think twice about continuing or furthering aggression.
Russia's violation of international law in Ukraine has already drawn NATO closer together,
reinvigorating the alliance by providing a new challenge and a strong common interest.
Putin could, as he boasted, occupy eastern Ukraine, but in the long run, he would be
acting against Russia's own interest, because he cannot not prevail against a united Europe.
My Iraq visit focused on ISIS and the imminent threat that it poses to Iraq, the region,
and the international community. Our military leaders and intelligence experts have uniformly
told us that airstrikes alone will not be sufficient to defeat ISIS. ISIS's rapid spread
has been possible, in large part, because it exploited Sunni discontent with the Maliki
government, which insisted on ruling Iraq on a narrow sectarian basis. If the new prime
minister shows that Iraq will now be governed inclusively, ISIS will find fewer Sunni leaders
willing either to aid and abet their terror or to look the other way.
President Obama has been cautious about resorting to military force in Iraq and elsewhere. In
the Middle East, the use of military force by Western nations without Arab support can
be counterproductive, providing fuel for the hateful propaganda used by extremists who
attack a Western presence as, quote, "occupation." For instance, neither ISIS nor its predecessor
-- Al Qaida in Iraq -- existed before the U.S. invasion in 2003. Instead, Al Qaida in
Iraq was created in response to the American presence in that country and fed off the resulting
conflict.
So what should the United States do about ISIS? The president laid out a forceful strategy
last night. It deserves bipartisan support.
First, just as ISIS poses a threat to the international security, the response needs
to be international. President Obama has begun building an international coalition to respond
to ISIS. A U.N. resolution endorsing the use of force against ISIS, while not necessary,
would help rally international support.
The participation of key Arab states in the region will be critical to the effectiveness
of any international coalition. If Western countries act in Iraq and Syria without visible
participation and leadership by Arab nations, it will play into the propaganda pitch of
extreme elements within the Sunni community that they, ISIS, is the only force willing
to stand up against foreign domination. Active participation by Arab states is key, because
the fight against ISIS is a struggle for the hearts and minds of Sunni Muslims, as well
as a military struggle.
The vast majority of Muslims oppose the brutality of ISIS, whose horrific actions may be a turning
point in persuading mainstream Islam of the need to expunge this poisonous offshoot. If
mainstream Muslims fail to join, and the conflict could be successfully portrayed as one of
the West against Islam, the poison is likely to reappear in new and different forms, as
it has in the past.
Second, within the context of a broad international alliance, I believe that Congress will support
airstrikes against ISIS, taking on the group's leadership and infrastructure in both Iraq
and Syria. The president's hand will be strengthened by congressional support, and he was wise
to welcome it last night, but he already has the authority he needs, under both domestic
and international law, to conduct such a campaign.
Under domestic law, the president has authority to act under Article II of the Constitution
when necessary to defend the United States. The beheading of two American journalists,
coupled with ISIS's threats against the United States and its training of Americans, provides
sufficient basis for such action. Under international law, the president has authority to act in
Iraq in accordance with the request of the government of Iraq. He has authority to act
in Syria, because the Syrian government has proven unwilling or unable to address the
ISIS threat from its ungoverned territories.
Third, we should train, equip, and assist those Iraqis and Syrians who are willing to
fight ISIS. Their boots are on the ground already, and their own countries' future is
at stake.
This effort should start with the Kurds. While limited in their military capabilities, the
Kurdish Peshmerga have proven willing to fight in their own defense and even to take the
fight to ISIS in key strategic areas near Kurdistan.
Moreover, the Kurds have provided some defense for nearby areas occupied by religious minorities
and have taken in refugees fleeing from ISIS assaults, providing a haven of religious tolerance
that has too often been absent in that part of the world. We should do all that we can
to ensure that the Peshmerga has the equipment that they need and to help train them in the
tactics that will succeed against ISIS.
But training and equipping the Peshmerga will not be sufficient to counter the ISIS threat
outside the areas under Kurdish control. We should provide similar training and assistance
to the Iraq armed forces as the new Iraqi government hopefully demonstrates that it
is prepared to govern in an inclusive manner.
If anything should bring the Iraqis together in a common cause, the threat posed by the
barbaric tactics of ISIS should do it. As Baghdad addresses the grievances of Iraq's
Sunni communities which have helped give rise to the ISIS threat, Western nations should
increase the level of military assistance provided.
Finally, we and our allies should take additional steps to openly train and assist the vetted,
moderate opposition in Syria, as the president is requesting and has requested. Even if ISIS
is pushed out of Iraq, the organization will survive unless it is also defeated in Syria.
In Syria, as in Iraq, ISIS can be set back by airpower, but cannot be defeated without
an opposing force to take the fight to it on the ground. That force needs to be a well-vetted
moderate Syrian opposition force that is trained, equipped and supported by the United States
and its allies, again, including partners among the Arab states.
In Iraq and Syria and Ukraine, the fight is for their people to win, but we can and should
provide robust assistance to those who are prepared to fight for themselves against terror
and aggression. It is the right thing to do, it reflects our values, and it is in our national
interest.
U.S. military force is not always the answer, but it can be, and often is an essential part
of the answer to terror and aggression. Equally important is an effective political and economic
strategy, which in the case of ISIS must include both a broad international coalition with
active participation by Arab nations and the establishment of a moderate, inclusive alternative
in both Iraq and Syria.
Michael?
GETLER: Thank you. Thanks very much. We'll get started by asking what roles do you see
actually being played by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Jordan, Arab allies, if there's to be a coalition
and if Arab Muslim participation is crucial to some ultimate success. Is a public role
possible for them? And if so, what might that be for those countries?
LEVIN: The public role is not only possible, it's essential. If we're going to turn the
momentum against the extremists and the terrorists and the fanatics and the violence-users inside
of that strand of Islam, it's got to be led by the mainstream Islamists. There's no alternative.
I believe it is possible now for two reasons. One is because of ISIS and who they threaten,
and it is very clear that they threaten those same countries, the existence of the governments
in those countries. And the second reason is that what the president is doing in asking
for us to openly fund training and equipping under Title 10, he's asked for $500 million
for training and equipping, and he's asked for specific support and authority to train
and equip. He already has the authority, by the way.
The reason for asking for that open authority under Title 10, which means Defense Department
personnel and not other personnel doing it covertly, is to show the Arab world that we
are openly doing something which we have only done covertly, which I believe they will -- which
will help them to do the same thing. A number of those countries have provided support in
the effort, for instance, against Assad, but they have not done it openly.
But for this effort against ISIS to work militarily in the short run, but in terms politically,
to turn the strand of Iran -- of Islam into a minority that has no political power, there's
got to be open support of this effort, and it's got to be part of an open coalition which
will show the Muslim world and the Sunni world, which is part of it, that this is an effort
which is -- which reflects the mainstream values of Islam, and it is for them to expurgate,
to purge this poison that the strand has produced.
GETLER: Why haven't Muslim leaders in this country especially and elsewhere spoken out
more publicly against ISIS?
LEVIN: I think they have spoken out publicly. I don't know that it's been covered adequately.
But I think in other countries, they have not. A number of imams in other countries
have, as a matter of fact, aided and abetted this -- or the extremists, put it that way.
All the reasons, they could either flow from an ideological agreement or from a monetary
support. There's all kinds of motivation that can be there, but the -- it needs to be done
more, because, again, this poison has got to be purged by Islam, and it's totally anti-Islam.
I will always -- I won't go into that anecdote, it takes too long, but a conversation that
I had with Sadat reinforced my belief that mainstream Islam is totally inconsistent with
what the fanatics are doing.
GETLER: Just to get back to those three countries, I mean, do you believe that their role in
a coalition -- that's Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Jordan, for example -- will be visible to
the American public and visible to everybody in terms of actual contribution to a coalition
and...
LEVIN: The hope is that it will be. That's what the effort is of Secretary Kerry and
the president right now, is that it be open. It needs to be for it to be success -- for
this effort to be successful long term. And it's obvious that ISIS is a threat to them
that I think now that they can do it openly without fear of retaliation in their own countries
by a minority that will take to the streets.
GETLER: Yeah. I noticed the president actually didn't call for the ouster of Assad again,
but how do you weaken and attack ISIS without strengthening Assad?
LEVIN: Because you go after both of the problems by various ways, inside of Syria, but mainly
by training and equipping the forces that oppose those two alternatives, which are now
in Iraq holding open a third alternative. The two alternatives -- I'm sorry, in Syria,
I misspoke -- the two alternatives now in Syria are either Assad or ISIS. The moderates
have been weakened, so you've got two alternatives.
The goal of the president is to have a third alternative that is offered in Iraq. And there's
-- it may be complicated to have both of these efforts going on in the same country, but
for the most part, they will be focused in different parts of the country.
GETLER: Do you -- most of the reporting has suggested that people are cautious about this
whole approach, find it hard to imagine it working, or at least the recommendations that
there had to be some kind of larger American military on-the-ground presence, not a lot
of troops, but certainly a larger -- or some force of special forces or something like
that in order to give this a greater chance of success, this overall strategy.
Is that something you would agree with?
LEVIN: Not combat forces on the ground, no. I think it -- number one, it is not necessary.
Number two, it works against us politically. It doesn't lay the responsibility where it
must fall, which is on the people in Iraq and Syria to achieve these goals by themselves,
a unified Iraq, less sectarian than under Maliki, and a Syria which purges itself hopefully
of both Assad and of ISIS.
GETLER: But there's such -- I mean, the -- the facts on the ground about the Iraqi army after
all these years are not encouraging. And is there any reason to believe that that army
is going to perform better?
LEVIN: The hope is that a new government, which is not sectarian the way Maliki was,
will have the support of an army unlike the previous army, which was not willing to support
a sectarian government in Baghdad.
GETLER: Senator, do you believe that there's -- that the president is actually being drawn
into another conflict or is intentionally being drawn into this conflict by ISIS and
related groups? It's something that sort of they want for their strategy.
LEVIN: They might want it, but they won't want it after what they're going to face.
(LAUGHTER)
I mean, it's kind of hard to, you know, psychoanalyze people whose mentality is on a different planet
from my perspective. So they may want it. They may want death. I mean, there's a lot
of people who say that these folks want death, they want to be killed, they want to get to
Heaven faster. If that's their wish, we should try to help them achieve that.
(LAUGHTER)
GETLER: Speaking of psychoanalysis, can you give...
LEVIN: Whoops.
GETLER: Could you give us your overall sense of the president's ability -- I don't mean
his personal ability -- but his ability to pull all this together, to pull together a
Congress, a coalition, a public? He's taken a terrible beating among the chattering classes
and the pontificators in the last several months. His poll ratings have dropped. They
may have gone up somewhat after these horrible beheadings and whatnot that have galvanized
people, but he would appear to be at a stage where his foreign policy presence has been
weakened, and yet he's got this huge challenge.
And how -- among Congress and your sense -- how well is he able to really pull this together
at this time of his presidency?
LEVIN: He is able to do it, and I'll predict he'll succeed in doing this for a number of
reasons. Number one, the American people want to respond to this threat. It's clear from
the nature of the threat. It's clear from those -- the beheading events that the American
people want a strong response. And they'll support the strong response, which we saw
yesterday from the president.
Secondly, the world community is going to galvanize here, and that's essential. This
president really has had a number of kind of strains in his thinking, which I think
are -- the American people support. Number one is force as a last resort. Secondly, they
want -- I think they agree with this president in saying that we cannot achieve for others
what they are unwilling to achieve for themselves. The people of Iraq and Syria have got to basically
make the decision and fight for their own countries and their own freedoms.
We can help. We should help. But the main focus cannot be us invading a country the
way it was in the Iraq war. And so that is another strand in the president's thinking.
And the third strand, which I believe the American people support, is that you need
an international coalition, unlike Iraq, where it was a Western country going in without
any Arab support, into a Muslim country, what this president has always focused on is coalition,
a broad-based coalition, not just a Western coalition, which already I think is clear
that there's going to be many Western countries that are going to participate in what the
president has outlined. But having visible Arab support is what his goal is. And that
is something which I believe the American people also support.
GETLER: Do you see a chance of this spreading into Saudi Arabia, for example, conflict?
LEVIN: Not in a big way. In terms of violent acts, there already have been violent acts
in many countries, so I can't say there won't be violent acts in many countries. But in
terms of a large-scale kind of civil war-type of an environment, I don't see it.
GETLER: Do you see this very intense focus on ISIS now, especially reinforced by the
president's speech, as somehow providing Putin with an opportunity to do some things in Ukraine
and the -- that would perhaps have gotten more attention? In other words, perhaps he
could...
LEVIN: I think he's kind of moving in the other direction, from this morning's reports,
in terms of removing some presence there. But I don't think so. I think Ukraine is very,
very much in the minds of this administration, and should be, and I hope that we find a way
to not only add additional pressure with sanctions, until Putin lives up to international norms,
but also provide additional military equipment to the Ukrainians.
Their president is going to be here next week. I've not met him, but he's from -- what I
read about him is an impressive person in terms of being a patriot, a Ukrainian patriot,
but also in someone who's got some kind of business sense, which gives him a certain
kind of cache, I think. But also, he's been, I think, strong relative to his comments about
Putin.
GETLER: Just two quick questions before we turn to the audience. One, this -- at a time
like this, where there's so much emphasis on what the world is really like today and
a lot of conflict, on the other hand, the size of the army and the Marine Corps are
continuing to decline. Does that bother you, as a leader of the Armed Services Committee?
LEVIN: I think we have to downsize somewhat. We're doing it in a cautious way. I am troubled
by the hit that readiness has taken through some of the budget cuts. And there's been
an effort with some success to restore the readiness, but we're going to have a somewhat
smaller military, but that is always ready. That's the key, and that's the decision.
Where we've also shorted ourselves is on some modernization. So I believe that the whole
sequestration decision looking back at it was wrong. Its purpose was not to be implemented.
Its purpose -- making these across-the-board cuts in the discretionary accounts, defense
and non-defense, its purpose was never to be implemented. It was to force us to do something
rational. It did not succeed in that regard, and I think we ought to find a way, frankly,
to repeal sequestration. And if you had a half-hour, I'd tell you how I would do it,
but I won't be around here to implement it, anyway, but that doesn't mean I can't leave
some...
GETLER: You're OK with the troop levels...
(CROSSTALK)
LEVIN: ... with the -- with the gradual reduction, I am.
GETLER: Yeah. And also, I know you've been to Afghanistan many, many, many times. And
it's kind of receded, gotten off the map a little bit. But there is this sense -- or,
again, critics talk about the -- how the withdrawal from Afghanistan and Iraq has perhaps contributed
to the ascension of ISIS. And just give us a quick look at the situation in Afghanistan,
if you wouldn't mind.
LEVIN: In Afghanistan, the glass is at least half-full and I believe getting fuller. That's
not the perception of the American people. I think the media coverage of Afghanistan
has been so overwhelmingly negative, focusing on the bad events, the sad tragic events,
the violent events, which are there, but not focusing at all on the accomplishments which
are really quite extraordinary, in terms of the number of kids that are going to school,
including girls. Forty percent of the students now are girls. Forty percent of the teachers
are women. The opening of universities, the -- Kabul is a totally different place in terms
of business, in terms of people on the streets than it was five or six years ago, much less
10 years ago.
I've been there a dozen times. It is visible what the difference is in Afghanistan. The
Afghan people are glad we came. The Afghan people, according to their polls, believe
we've had some real success in Afghanistan, we being, by the way, a coalition. How is
it the American people overwhelmingly think it's a failure? How does that happen?
Well, where do the American people get their information from? They get it from our media.
And if the media doesn't cover the positive side of the story, the American people are
understandably going to say it looks like we failed in Afghanistan.
I think Bob Gates maybe put it as well as could be put. He said this is the first war
that he has ever seen that -- Afghanistan is the first war that he's ever seen that
the closer you get to it, the better it looks.
GETLER: Well, OK. We will now get close to our audience. Again, please wait for the microphone,
speak directly into it, state your name, affiliation, stand up, of course, and keep your comments
to questions and brief ones, please. Yes?
QUESTION: Thanks. Senator, I'm Barbara Slavin. I'm with the Atlantic Council, and I also
write for Al-Monitor.com. I want to go back to the Assad question. The Syrian moderate
opposition, so-called, has not gotten its act together in the last three years. It has
been feckless at best, both politically and militarily.
It seems a huge leap of faith now to think that we really can create an alternative in
that country. And if I could tack on an associated question, if one assumes that eventually you
do have to get rid of Assad to get rid of ISIS, don't we have to work with the Iranians
in order to engineer that? Thanks.
LEVIN: Well, we're not going to work with the Iranians to do that. Their motivations
are different from our motivations. They support Assad; we don't. And is it a complex situation?
Yes. Is it achievable? I believe it is achievable. Is it a huge challenge? Of course it is. But
there are going to be forces trained and equipped to go after ISIS. There are going to be continuing
training and equipping, hopefully much expanded, of forces that want to keep the heat on Assad.
It's a large country. The -- most of the territory, which is effectively governed by ISIS, is
in the different part of Iraq than the part that is essentially governed by Assad. And
there's also parts that are governed by the moderate -- so it's complex, but it has to
be done, and I don't know of any better alternative. I just don't know of a better alternative
than what the president laid out.
I mean, if we -- sending in troops -- U.S. troops and Western troops in there, if any
of the people who are critical of this want to do that -- and there may be some -- then
they should say so. But I heard some of the Republican criticism. It's been -- even before
the speech, by the way -- this isn't your question, but it gives me an opportunity to
pick a bone anyway with some of the -- some of the partisanship here.
I have never seen -- never seen such virulent partisanship in 36 years, particularly in
the area of international policy. I mean, I was a critic of President Bush's going to
war in Iraq. I voted against it. I thought it was a mistake. And then the vote was there,
and I joined in supporting our troops.
But it was never virulent. It was never continual. It was never just rat-a-tat-tat against Bush.
It was you agree with him or you disagree with him. You disagree with him, you're civil,
you say why, and you move on. I mean, on the eve of the president's speech, Mitch McConnell
on the floor -- and I was there when he made it yesterday -- attacks the president on every
single thing. The president's to blame for everything in foreign policy, he was focusing
on that. This on the eve of a president's speech.
I've seen Republicans in a highly partisan way attack the president when he's abroad.
We would never do that when a president's abroad. So the Republican partisanship against
this president has reached a level I have never seen in 36 years.
Now, that's not a response to your question, but thanks for bearing with me.
GETLER: Yes, this gentleman.
QUESTION: Thank you. Jonathan Broder from Congressional Quarterly. Senator, have you
given any thought to what Plan B ought to be if the ground forces that we're counting
on to defeat ISIS, both in Iraq and Syria, don't, if ISIS beats them?
LEVIN: Well, I think, first of all, you've got to fully flesh out the coalition and to
see how that works. And as you do that, you obviously want a Plan B, but I think that
the Plan A is being fleshed out militarily, and I -- the focus has got to be on fleshing
out Plan A.
You know, I don't think there's a Plan B that has come to anyone's mind, because if there
were a better plan than this one, I think people would have proposed it. And I haven't
heard too many alternatives to this plan. I've heard a lot of criticism, but I haven't
heard of many alternatives.
So the answer is, I think that we should and hopefully will both inside the Pentagon, inside
the State Department, inside the White House be working on alternatives as this is underway.
But I don't think there's a fully fleshed Plan A yet, in terms of a coalition being
put together, and so it's got a hard -- personally I have not. Do I think it's being thought
of? I hope so, Plan B.
GETLER: Yes, sir?
QUESTION: Lloyd Hand, King & Spalding. Mr. Chairman, thank you for your comments. And
particularly in light of your -- the end of your comments to the previous questioner here,
I heard you say -- and I appreciate and raise the need for congressional support. But in
light of that current attitude preventing the Congress, how do you see that happening?
And when do you see that happening?
Incidentally, it was reassuring to hear from some responsible Republicans, Democrats, some
bipartisan support for that in the press this morning.
LEVIN: Good. Well, I think it will get -- the president's proposal will get bipartisan support.
I think some of the strident voices there hopefully now against the president are going
to now cool it for a while, while we try to see if we can't find a way to support the
president, whether it's through a new AUMF, a new Authority for the Use of Military Force,
or whether it's through a resolution of support, whether it's through supporting the funding
that he's asked for the training and equipping on their -- this is Title 10, which sounds
technical, but that gets to the question of the openness of the support, which is so critical
to the issue of gaining Arab open support, which in turn is so critical to long-term
success.
So I believe there will be bipartisan support for it -- I don't know the form, because there's
many ways you can express support here. The AUMF approach has got some complexities to
it, as we saw from the last AUMF, which is still in effect 11 years later.
So I hope now -- in terms of timing -- I hope we can come up with a -- some mechanism of
support, whether it's a combination of supporting the Title 10 request for train and equip money,
which I surely hope we're going to do before we leave, whether it's in addition to that,
some kind of a resolution of support, which is perhaps less of a legal document, which
is what an Authorization for Use of Military Force is, because that is in law and it could
be more possibly some kind of a sense of the Congress resolution of support.
I hope we can do something in that area before we leave, as well as the Title 10 financial
support for the $500 million. And I think both of those are possible. The AUMF, if it
comes to be, I think a longer -- take a longer time to figure that out, because, again, that
is a legal binding document, which has some implications in terms of how long a period,
what are the limits of the force, you got to work out some language which you as a fantastic
lawyer know takes some time.
GETLER: Yes, sir?
QUESTION: Jim Slattery from Wiley Rein. Senator, great to see you.
GETLER: Hold on.
QUESTION: Thank you very much for 36 incredible years in the United States Senate.
(CROSSTALK)
QUESTION: I've always valued you -- your leadership. I want to come back to the question that Barbara
Slavin's raised. Are we certain, absolutely certain that Iran is not willing to play a
constructive role in dealing with Assad and replacing him somehow? And is there an opportunity
for us to have a conversation with Iran about replacing Assad as we deal with ISIS, which
they clearly see as an immense threat to them?
And, you know, I am puzzled by why today we are just paralyzed, it seems like, in dealing
with opportunities where the enemy of our enemy may be our friend, at least for a period
of time, and why we're unwilling to seize these moments. I've been involved for 10 years
in an Abrahamic outreach to Iran. And so it's totally a passion for me and a pro bono project,
but I strongly believe, Senator, if we do not deal with Rouhani and Zarif and the others
around him, God help us in dealing with Iran over the next 5 to 10 years.
I just want us to be as creative as we possibly can be in dealing with this situation. So
thank you again for your leadership.
GETLER: So your question is, are we paralyzed, I guess?
QUESTION: And also, are we certain that Iran is not open to helping us deal with a post-Assad
Syria?
LEVIN: I can't say that I'm certain of anything in the Middle East, first of all.
(LAUGHTER)
With the -- those nations, with Iran, with the Iraqi leadership. There are some things
I am certain about in the Middle East, but we won't go into that, and that's not your
question, that most of the things that you ask about I can't say I am certain about.
Does that mean we can...
QUESTION: Should you explore that?
LEVIN: I don't -- I don't see how you explore dealing with Iran on this area. At the same
time, we're, I believe, wise in trying to explore with Iran a way of making sure that
they don't get to a nuclear weapon. I think they would -- if you tried both at the same
time, I think they would somehow or other get intertwined, and the nuclear piece is
so important that we succeed, that just hanging onto that possibility is difficult enough,
frankly, without talking about adding another complex issue to it.
So I just don't think it is practical. I don't think it's wise to see if that is a possibility,
what you describe, at the same time we're negotiating hopefully or discussing a way
to prevent them from getting a nuclear weapon, because if that doesn't succeed, the ramifications
are huge. And we shouldn't do anything which could upset it or raise their expectations
that something that we are talking to them about in Syria might mean that maybe we wouldn't
be as tough on them in negotiations on the nuclear side.
GETLER: This lady behind you, yeah. I'll get you next.
QUESTION: Thank you very much. Frances Cook. I'm now a consultant. Senator, thank you for
your service. One of my fondest memories in Oman, my last assignment overseas, was your
visit with Senator Warner, we had a Democrat and a Republican traveling with a Republican
secretary of state who was working for a Democratic president. That kind...
LEVIN: Those were the good old days.
QUESTION: That -- that seems almost like the Peloponnesian Wars now. You've got a room
here of foreign affairs professionals. Can you give us any hope or give us some idea
of what could be done? We're making people overseas very nervous if we have trouble putting
together this coalition, because they think we're a kind of hapless giant right now because
of what's going on in Washington. *** Cheney was on the Hill testifying this week, too.
LEVIN: Don't get me there.
(LAUGHTER)
QUESTION: I mean, him saying that Obama supports the Muslim Brotherhood, when that gets into
the Egyptian echo chamber, it's a real problem for us.
LEVIN: Don't get me started on *** Cheney.
QUESTION: What can we do? What can we do?
LEVIN: What we can do is continue to look for ways to be bipartisan. I come from a state
that produced Arthur Vandenberg, who was a giant. He was heroic. He helped Truman succeed
with NATO and all the other things which they were able to do after World War II. And he
had to change his position, by the way, to do it. He had been an isolationist before
World War II.
So I know how essential it is. And it's really -- at the moment, if we're going to get Arab
and Muslim countries to openly get involved in this coalition, we have got to be bipartisan
here. If they see us squabbling and not agreeing on things we agree on -- I mean, we -- OK,
you can start arguing about whether or not we should've made a greater effort to leave
troops in Iraq after the Iraqi government said they wouldn't sign an agreement with
us that our troops would be protected. I mean, there's so much history you can argue about,
and I'm more than willing to argue that and a bunch of other issues, but right now, the
issue is whether or not the body politic in this country is going to pull together to
go after a real threat, to us and to the world. That's the question.
Ninety-five percent of us think we ought to go after them. When I say us, in the Congress,
I think. You just took a poll, should we go after them, ISIL, ISIS, the answer is, I think
95 percent of us would say yes. Given that -- and it's a pretty strong feeling on this
issue, and a strong feeling on the public. You know, 70 percent of the public now thinks
we ought to do it, too. For heaven's sake, in this circumstance, can't we then pull together,
drop some of that partisan stuff that we heard from McConnell on the floor yesterday on the
eve of the president's speech?
I just don't understand why he thought that would somehow or other either help this country
or politically help his cause. I don't get it. But the answer to your question is, just
the way I believe that ISIS ought to be cement, glue that brings talking the Muslim world,
99 percent of whom have got to hate ISIS, just the way ISIS can be a mechanism to unify
the Muslim world and to expel that poison, that element of poison that is there and needs
to be expelled, I think ISIS can have that effect, positive effect in the Muslim world
to unify. For heaven's sake, the same point applies to us.
GETLER: Yes, sir? This gentleman here first.
QUESTION: Thank you. Jack Goldstone, Woodrow Wilson Center. Senator, you have far more
experience in this region than I do, and so I defer to your insight, but I come back to
this question about Syria and Iran. ISIS is already using American weapons that were captured
from moderates we tried to equip. If we're going to...
LEVIN: That's not necessarily true. The weapons that they captured may not have been -- according
to that story -- even American weapons, but keep going.
QUESTION: If we're going to make the moderates in Syria a strong and effective force, it's
going to require some input of American advisers, trainers, supervisors. Iran already has boots
on the ground in Syria supporting Assad. The Sunni coalition that is vital to the success
of this effort may be perceived by Iran as a threat, a Sunni coalition aiming to displace
a government they're supported.
How can we not be talking to Iran if we're building a Sunni coalition in the region,
if we're putting American efforts into opposing a regime that they support? If they don't
feel part of this effort, it may destroy all the efforts we've made to make progress in
the nuclear and other areas.
LEVIN: If Iran doesn't feel part of the effort? Well, they're already there, so they're already
making an effort without being part of a coalition. And, secondly, the government of Iraq has
got -- if they want to talk, which they obviously do, with Iran, they can do it. That's got
to be the filter, though. It can't be direct conversations with Iran for practical reasons,
I believe.
Look, I'm someone who very strongly believes that we ought to be negotiating with Iran
on the nuclear side against some very strong opposition to even talking to Iran on the
nuclear side. That to me is the number-one goal right now is to avoid that catastrophe
of Iran getting a nuclear weapon. And I think this could muddy that water and confuse and
complicate those negotiations, if in another area we're relying on Iran, because I think
it could help -- it could raise their expectations. Somehow or other, it could affect what they
calculate we might be willing to do on the nuclear side, and I don't want them to change
their calculus.
I want them to know how serious we are and the people negotiating with them are that
they not get to a nuclear weapon and think that somehow or other, if they're in a coalition
over in a different area, that that could in any way change our position or weaken our
resolve on the nuclear side.
GETLER: Yes, ma'am?
QUESTION: I'm Mitzi Wertheim. I'm with the Naval Postgraduate School. This has been a
fabulous discussion. My question is for you. How do we get the media to explain the story
the senator has been telling us? And I understand you all do it for wanting to be the first
(inaudible) on conflict, but I think you have to start demanding from Congress that they
talk together. I mean, I remember when Condi Rice was sort of talking about all this, and
I said, how can we sell democracy if we can't make it function here? So...
GETLER: Well, the media is...
LEVIN: Do you have a mic on?
GETLER: Yes, I do.
(LAUGHTER)
I'm not going to say anything, though. It's a strange beast. I think the senator comes
at his views on coverage of Afghanistan from where he sits. I would argue generally -- and
I really haven't studied the press broad coverage on Afghanistan recently -- but I would argue
that if you go back and look at major news organizations, they've probably done a reasonable
job.
The problem with -- I think with press coverage often is that when the action stops or when
American troops are gone, the press coverage goes with it. And I think that happened in
Iraq, and it happened in Afghanistan, as well. In Iraq, there was intense coverage and very
heavy coverage and many, many reporters there. When the withdrawals began and U.S. casualties
went way down, the coverage actually went way down. At least that's my recollection.
And so one of the weaknesses of the press is perhaps that when Americans are not directly
involved, especially when they're being killed or wounded in combat, there's less of a focus
on these spots about the aftermath of -- and I think that's in part responsible because
there are not enough foreign correspondents, because of very expensive coverage, and so
I think you'd find in almost any conflict that there's a very significant drop-off in
daily press coverage.
QUESTION: And educating the public.
GETLER: Well, they're there to report. They're not teachers. I mean, they're not there to
educate. They're there to report what's going on. But that -- the interest level drops both
among, I think, editors and perhaps the public, and they've tied together, when the U.S. involvement
drops.
Yes?
QUESTION: Hi, Elisa Massimino with Human Rights First. Senator, again, thank you. I want to
add my thanks to your -- for your service and your leadership, which have been so important.
It sounds like you and the president agree that he has the authority to move as he's
described, but it sounds like maybe for different reasons. You cited Article II. He, I think,
has said he has authority under the 2001 AUMF.
And while it may sound like an arcane legal question, I think one of the concerns that
we've had is that the open-endedness of the AUMF, which I think you have also shared some
concerns about that, ultimately while it gives maximum flexibility might undermine support
for the war effort.
And one of the lessons maybe we can learn is building that support requires kind of
an understanding and clarity about what our mission really is for Americans to support
this for the long term. Can you talk a little bit more about what you think the risks might
be for open-ended authorization for the use of military force, either how it's been used
under the 2001 AUMF or potentially under Article II of the Constitution?
LEVIN: Well, we've seen the AUMF that was adopted in 2002 for -- and used in 2003, be
used far afield from the area of interest at the time. Then we get into these legal
arguments as to whether or not the groups that we go after or pursuant or with that
authority -- it's not pursuant, technically, but with that authority -- are somehow or
other connected adequately to the group that we were going after. I mean, it's a legal
document. And it's got to be done with some real care.
By the way, it was not done in many of the conflicts that we've seen. We didn't have
an AUMF in Kosovo. We didn't have an AUMF in Bosnia. We didn't have an AUMF in Libya.
Now, so -- you know, we've never had an AUMF just using airpower, by the way, and we've
not always had an AUMF even where there was ground forces.
So I believe the president should get bipartisan support. I think his policy is right. You
can disagree as to how we get here, how we got here, but I believe the policy that he
has laid out is right. And for us to at this moment kind of disagree on technical wordings
of an AUMF, which is law, instead of coming up with a -- for perhaps a joint or a concurrent
resolution supporting what he's doing with its -- its limits, by the way, no ground troops,
for instance, relying on a coalition. I mean, these are limiting factors. These are themes
of this president which I happen to share.
But I think it gets to the point about, are we going to now try to overcome the complexities
of an AUMF, which will be a divisive debate, probably, a complex debate, maybe a partisan
debate? It leads to that, because it's such a legal document which is binding law, instead
of pulling together in some way supporting the Title 10 funding and maybe having a resolution,
a sense of the Congress resolution supporting what 90 percent of us support on it.
Leave out the parts where we disagree. Just put in there the parts we agree to show the
world that we're supporting this policy. Not everybody, obviously, supports the president.
But I think 80 percent, 90 percent of us -- and I better stick with the 90 percent, or else
I'll be looking inconsistent -- I think 90 percent of us believe that this policy is
right.
Some don't think it goes far enough. Some might think it goes too far. I think 90 percent
of us think it's pretty close to being on target. We've got to go after these guys.
They're a threat to us, to the region. We've got to have a coalition to be effective. I
think people feel that. We've got to get the people who live there to carry the brunt of
the fight. The people whose country it is have got to carry the brunt of the fight.
It can't be us carrying the fight for them. It's got to be us assisting them.
I think those themes, those principles have general support in the Congress and in the
American people, and we ought to focus on where we can agree right now, instead of trying
to figure out in the next two weeks exactly what the parameters are of a law which is
permanent law, which is an AUMF, which goes on forever unless there's a limit on it.
OK, now we could spend a week debating, well, how long should the next AUMF be in effect?
That's a really good debate. That's -- you know, that's an honest kind of debate we ought
to have before we adopt an AUMF. How long should it be in existence? What limits should
be in there?
And I just think that's the wrong message for the world right now, is to have that kind
of a debate, which we may not be able to conclude in two weeks, without the Foreign Relations
Committee having hearings on it, trying to put together a legal document, instead focus
on where we can agree, which I think is the case, the funding, $500 million, training
and equip, and some kind of a sense of the Congress resolution being supportive of a
policy which is strong, which is what the president laid out last night.
GETLER: Unfortunately, we don't have any more time for debate. So this has been a very good
exchange. Thank you, everybody. I'll remind you it's all on-the-record.
(APPLAUSE)