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Comet's ISON's recent outburst of activity has done more than simply brighten the comet.
Whatever exploded from the comet's core also created a spectacularly-long tail, more than
16 million kilometers from end to end. Scroll down to see the full extent of Comet ISON
as photographed on Nov. 17th by Michael Jäger of Ebenwaldhöhe, Austria:
"The tail of the comet stretches more than 7o across the sky," says Jäger. It's almost
as wide as the bowl of the Big Dipper.
Physically, ISON's tail is about 12 times wider than the sun. So, when the head of ISON
plunges into the sun's atmosphere on Nov. 28th, more than 15 million kilometers of the
comet's tail will still be jutting into space behind it.
Because so much gas and dust is spewing from the comet's core, it is impossible to see
clearly what caused Comet ISON's outburst on Nov. 13-14. One possibility is that fresh
veins of ice are opening up in the comet's nucleus, vaporizing furiously as ISON approaches
the sun. Another possibility is that the nucleus has completely fragmented.
"If so, it will still be several days before we know for sure," says Karl Battams, an astronomer
with NASA's Comet ISON Observing Campaign. "When comet nuclei fall apart, it's not like
a shrapnel-laden explosion. Instead, the chunks slowly drift apart at slightly different speeds.
Given that ISON's nucleus is shrouded in such a tremendous volume of light-scattering dust
and gas right now, it will be almost impossible to determine this for at least a few days
and perhaps not until the comet reaches the field of view of NASA's STEREO HI-1A instrument
on November 21, 2013. We will have to wait for the chunks to drift apart a sufficient
distance, assuming they don't crumble first."
Monitoring is encouraged. Comet ISON rises in the east just before the sun. Amateur astronomers,
if you have a GOTO telescope, enter these coordinates. Dates of special interest include
Nov. 17th and 18th when the comet will pass the bright star Spica, making ISON extra-easy
to find.
........... Three sunspot groups (AR1897, AR1899, and
AR1900) have 'beta-gamma' magnetic fields that harbor energy for M-class solar flares.
The three potential flare sites are circled in this Nov. 18th image taken by NASA's Solar
Dynamics Observatory:
All three sunspot groups are facing Earth, more or less, so any eruptions today would
likely be geoeffective. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of M-class flares and a 15% chance
of X-flares on Nov. 18th