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Welcome to the
Digital Disruption panel live here in Davos.
One of the key themes in Davos this year is the whole question
of digital disruption. We've talked a lot about the macroeconomic situation
but when you begin to look at some the structural issues in the global economy
the whole way that digital is transforming markets,
thinking about the new business models that have been created,
all these all key trends that will be discussing
here in Davos. And you only need to think about
how fast smartphones have
evolved and changed our lives since they came in 2007
to think about the pace and scale of change.
I'm delighted to be joined by three panelists who are going to
join the discussion and look at some of these key trends.
So on my left is Antonio Simoes from
HSBC. David Kirkpatrick who is
the founder of Techononmy and
author of The Facebook Effect, and
over here we've got Paul Daugherty the CTO from
Accenture and if you want to join this conversation because we're very keen to
have you
in the dialogue as well then look act the
at Accenture label and the
#digitaldisruption hashtag
so it's "@Accenture" hashtag digital disruption
if you want to be part on the panel pare of the discussion
and join in with us. And so I wanna start with our panelists
and really sort of get them to give us some feel about how significant
this digital disruption is so if I talked to the three of you, David
perhaps start and say how significant
is digital disruption is it a fad? Is it something that's critical?
Is here, is it now? How do you interpret what's going on. I think it's
overwhelmingly significant it's really almost
epochal if you think that the invention of the internet is tantamount to
the invention of the telephone or electricity which i think
are legitimate comparisons then what's happening with the digital disruption is
in effect
business finally adapting to the reality of an entirely new platform for global
communication so
that's big that's hard and it's very you know
well underway. Good. And, Antonio, what do you think? I agree actually
I think this is huge. You talked about smartphones earlier I was looking at
checking mine and I
read a statistic this morning that the average person checks
the smartphone one hundred and fifty times on average.
Too often. I guess I'm at the upper end.
Clearly if you are thinking at the personal level I Paul and I are both wearing kind of,
actually the three of us are wearing wearable displays as well but
but actually the interesting point then actually I'm sure we'll get into this
later is not only are we wearing it
in my case I shared it with my family my partner, etc., but I share it with my personal
trainer and at some point I hope I share this with my insurance company so I get
a better deal out of it but it's that dynamic and I think we are at a tipping
point at the moment and I agree
a lot of the technology has been around for a long time. You think of mobile, you think
of social.
Their buzzword of novels. The Internet of everything.
We have big data. We have the Cloud but I think this year in 2014 we'll
see this
tipping point of all of this coming together and ours has been
business is reacting. I think we in financial services have reacted less than
other industries.
I think if you think of music which is at the extreme we are probably closer to
supermarkets and groceries. We have not yet changed a lot. We at HSBC than a lot in
terms of apps and stuff but
I don't think we as the industry have yet really disrupted. We have not yet
really embraced digital properly and I think this year is going to be really a
tipping point for them. So Paul just build on that. You're a sort
of technology specialist. You look at these trends. Are we heading to a tipping
point in 2014?
Yeah, I think tipping point is a good word for it and I put it in historical
context. I position what we see now is where the fourth major wave of
disruption that we've seen hit business and technology.
The mainframe, the PC, and cloud server, the internet and now digital which is one of the
things Antonio talk about. Social, mobile, analytics, cloud coming together
and I think we are at a tipping point. I think it's early in the impact of this
as we're just talking about the different industries it's hitting.
Marisa Meyer in the digital panel also used the term tipping point. It's a tipping point in the
way
we live and work as we look to really leverage digital technology going
forward.
You can see it in some of the startups which I think is interesting to watch. Look at
ways and
Uber, and some of the start ups we focus on in terms of how they leverage the digital
disruption.
But I think it's also interesting now to look at what big companies can do to
leverage it. Tesco is a great example. They mentioned grocers.
Tesco in the UK is actually giving consumers tablet-style
because they believe it's important control or influence a lot of the consumers
digital behavior not just in store experience. But they're giving consumers
a tablet
to more broadly impact the consumer's digital experiences. It's that kind of thinking
in big companies that will really mark the next
edge, or the next side of the tipping point is when we see big companies embrace and
drive digital.
So David just picking up on that. It's very easy to talk about digital. We get all
excited about the technologies.
You've looked a lot at this. What do you think are the key insights
from a business perspective about this digital disruption?
How do you sort of think the business leaders need to be thinking about
where digital is taking them? Well, first I would say my conviction
unfortunately is that most business leaders don't think hard enough about
this
and are not sufficiently alarmed or excited
about the potential and at Techonomy, my company, we talk about
every leader must be a technologist and I mean that literally not the
you have to go and get an engineering degree but you gotta stop being afraid
of getting your hands dirty and
not rely on your CIO and CTO to tell you what to do.
You've got to engage because these changes are transformative.
I mean if you look at Antonio's industry, the reason I think he's right, that
has to adapt. Look at some of these companies like Square that's coming
along with a whole new
payment technology or Bitcoin even more radical.
The landscape is being transformed by innovation
and if the existing institutions don't adapt
they are in big trouble, so you know, many of them are.
I think some banks are adapting. Certainly
some financial institutions. A surprising number of companies are doing smart
things.
But I think it's far easier to list many big
and formerly smart companies that aren't doing enough.
Antonio, from an HSBC point of view, how does this work
and impact you as a business leader? It impacts us a lot. I couldn't agree
more in terms of
we all lead. I've run the business in the UK. So, I'm effectively
managing all of our businesses particularly on the retail side-I think
we all
for me, the CEO, Don, we need to be heavily involved. I think the big change here for
all of us is that
we've been talking about customer centricity forever, right? But actually
digital
has changed this dynamic because switching costs are much, much lower.
I live in the UK we now have seven day switching for
current accounts. So if you're not happy with, ideally with one of our competitors,
you can actually go online and we do have an app where you can actually sign
up and you switch from that competitor to HSBC. So,
that's the issue of competitiveness and lack of trust in banking which is
the crisis. I was actually at the breakfast this morning. It's a crisis in a lot
of industries.
It is actually. But actually it's interesting because as you
know at the bottom
together with journalists and politicians. And actually
interestingly the sector
that's the most trusted is actually technology. So it's interesting that we
have,
we as banks if I can talk as a bank should use technology because customers
do trust
technology and actually that comes the across in this
survey that we were seeing this morning. And actually if we can
leverage that to rebuild some of that trust.
I think it will be really important- maybe we can come back to some of the
disruptive business models because I think there are
a lot of interesting things that we are doing and other people are doing
and we can explore that later but
I think we need this is a key part of my job and a key part of
everybody in my management team.
We just hit a really key point in the dialogue there with David and Antonio that
it's the business and technology-business and IT being separate doesn't work.
in this new world anymore. The business and technology come together.
The phrase we use is every business is a digital business which means the
business and technology really
fuse together as you look at your strategy going forward which is, I think,
the same point you guys are
making. When we're looking at this from a
financial perspective, from a revenue and cost perspective. From a revenue
perspective we want to save our customers better
but a lot of the business models that you and others are exploring and we are
exploring are also
geared towards the cost side so sharing much more platforms across the industry
that's something that
should also reduce our costs and make us more efficient. And that's
we as financial services again have done probably the most integrated
industry
of all and we haven't really shared in shared services which is something
that simple and we'll need to collaborate much more to do that. That's a very
interesting point Antonio, about the fact that a lot of digital seems to be on the
cost-efficiency side and yet
the real potential is very much in terms of how customer experience is going to be
transformed.
In terms of that journey, you mentioned earlier the fact that we talked about
customers always have been at the center. How radical and transformational is this sort of
new digital disruption in terms of the customer experience for someone like you as a
bank.
So it is, let's be very clear, very disruptive action. David mentioned some
of the examples.
Digital for other industries has taken away the
intermediaries and we as a bank we are an intermediary what we do is we take
deposits from you and we lend to you. We are
an intermediary. So there is a real risk and I was actually at the lunch today
with someone said
I'd love to have my deposit with HSBC, which they did, which I am really grateful,
but I want to have my credit from Max and I want to have my payments from
someone else. So,
the customer themselves are dis-intermediating
us as a bank and there's a real risk there and I think what we need to do
we need to embrace that that risk and that that disruption.
The first peer to peer lending is the best example, right? If you lend to
each other I don't need to do anything as a bank.
Some of our competitors and you may have seen some news prevented
their employees from participating in peer to peer lending.
That's maybe the defensive way of doing it. I think the proactive... I wouldn't
comment on a competitor...
but the proactive way to do it is to embrace this action. Before coming to the
panel I have a little
sort of site where I post comments from for the employees and I said I'm coming
to Davos and I'm speaking this panel,
I got hundreds of comments because this is a really exciting topic and so
we need to be more nimble. We have with 270,000 people globally.
We need to be a more nimble organization, We actually hired someone from
Google who is our chief technology officer from a digital perspective
and he's already transforming a lot of what we doing in terms of being more
nimble.
But we need to get our employees on board because they are themselves really
excited. I got hundreds of ideas I could spend three hours talking about them
but because there is, it's an a topic that they want to talk about rather than
compliance or
all the other priorities that we have. Okay, so please join the conversation at
hash tag
digital disruption. I've got the first question coming in here.
So Dave we're talking about the customer experience. I think people are really
interested at what makes 2014 different?
Is it because the maturity the technology?
Or is it because people like Antonio got "wised-up" to the threats that technology
may present? I think it's probably because the increasing maturity of the customer
and the ability-increasingly customers are recognizing the power of mobile and
digital
and they're really basically demanding new ways
of thinking about how to serve their needs and I would just you know what Antonio
was saying was provocative.
I think one of the key developments right now that's really exploding
is the whole marketplace phenomenon so you have things like
a Air B&B or Uber you know one is disrupting hotels another is disrupting
transportation. Something even more radical as TaskRabbit
which is basically for higher employment is really disrupting
employment at a very basic level and you think about the implications of those
kinds of businesses and the likelihood they will arise
in more industries. It really represents the consumer essentially protecting the
big company service model entirely.
So if companies don't really step up their game
consumers are gonna try to bypass them altogether. I think that's
kind of a new possibility.
I was going to say, the dangers when one spends all one's time thinking about
disruption in the context of
b2c businesses and consumers but is also a lot disruption coming in
in terms of the, if you like, industrial internet if you look at the b2b
businesses
So I wondered wheter you want to just talk about it a little bit through the lens of
industrial companies what are you seeing happen in particular in the b2b market?
Bridging back to the question what's different in 2014 is I think we're hitting
a tipping point in the number of connected devices.
That allow you to do different things. All three of us are wearing here
I mean that's telling. We didn't coordinate that. We're all going overboard.
At Davos.
Yeah, but there's a tipping point in devices, a tipping point
in connected
vehicles, a tipping point in machinery being connected that allows you
to
rethink the way you do things. So, on the consumer side we talk about
experiences I think Antonio used the word experiences. Like Nest the company
that the a took a thermostat and changed the way that
a consumer deals with the environment at home and really
developed into an experience for consumers. That's the power that all these
new connected devices and how to leverage them.
Then you take that into the industrial sector there's big problems
you can solve by rethinking
the value proposition and the experience. Take
commercial aviation where there's the estimates are that 1 percent
fuel efficiency savings is a thirty billion dollar value proposition for the
industry.
There's a tremendous. There's money to be made and a lot of money to be saved and
more efficient travel less impact on the
on the environment. And all by tackling those problems using the new technology,
connected technology, analytics,
real time information, that's available and it's really beyond the consumer and
as I think of the value that can be created
in the industrial internet could be many times greater than the value credit for
the consumer.
Sorry, go on. One example is
building on something I said earlier, which is, I agree it's not just about the
consumer so
one thing we are doing on the payment side which ultimately is for, could be on the
consumer side, but equally on the commercial corporate side
we are creating this sort of joint platform for just joint launch something
in a few weeks back on
or actually, announced that we're going to launch something we'd all the banks and
in the UK. It's called Zapp.
For payments and actually that will be for businesses as well as people and that's
partially a reaction to some of the disruption
model. But, it's something that consumers really want but actually the
collaboration is
is a b2b collaboration-we at the banks are collaborating which is something
probably
we wouldn't have done if the digital disruption
wasn't there. Well, the good thing despite the fact that the consumer is maturing
it you know and going to post points there are enormous portfolio of new
tools available to businesses
as data storage has gotten so inexpensive and the quality of analytics
has improved really almost exponentially in very recent times I think that's
another
radical transformation we're in the midst of is companies starting to
realize
the data they have is an incredible resource to understand the needs of their
customers.
The way to save money the way you know, you can compensate employees
think about structuring their businesses et cetera et cetera and that's very
disruptive but it's very optimistic
piece of the current puzzle for big companies.
Well, there's an interesting question from Alex in Germany who talks about the
disruption in terms of corporate culture because we tend to think disruption
in terms of
the technologies that you can apply. What do you think is a panel about
sort of corporate culture?
How's corporate culture going to change? I know the banking sector's had lots
of influences
but if you just focus on digital dimension of that
what does this sort of digital revolution mean in terms of what you
need to do to change the culture
to really be able to embrace it and take advantage of it? So, I think
if there's one word I would use and I mentioned it earlier but is really
important is that
we need to be more nimble as not in our case a company but as
as an industry also because clearly the innovation cycle is much much shorter
than what we're used to doing. So
if I gave the example of some other joined us from Google that's leading our
digital efforts we have now digital centers of excellence where we are every
quarter
updating our apps and we are launching new new
that's something that even to three years ago it to take me nine months to
develop a product something new. So
I think the disruption within a corporate culture is that
we need to have different mindset that needs to be much much faster much
much nimbler and actually banking is probably the most regulated industry and
therefore
its you're right it is difficult to or everything else we doing in changing
culture which are much much bigger issues
and but doing that it's a at the same time is becoming much more
customer-centric
and delivering things much faster so I think that that's a big, big change.
I think it's becoming an article of faith among people who really
pay close attention that the pace of change demands
the company's tap innovation whatever they can find
and that really means empowering the employee population in ways that most
companies have historically been
reluctant to do in it that implies a much flatter organizational structure
where your
willing to recognize and reward people wherever they are on your organization
if they have good ideas and one of the interesting things about some of the
greatest innovations that are coming out of
even big companies right now is that they're coming from combinations of
contributors
that maybe in most cases would never have even been allowed
to participate in the dialogue and that's, that's a great thing.
And just to build on that because one of the observations it seems to me is
that there are new forms of collaboration occurring as a result of
this digital disruption. So, big companies, small companies, big companings, big companies
How's corporate culture being changed by the fact you're just
collaborating with different types of partners?
I think you used the word nimble or agile-it has to be a key element the culture.
Fail fast, ya know get ideas out there and learn from them quickly. Fail fast and keep the good ideas
The other thing that I did to extend on David's idea is connecting the
internal employees but also go back to marketplace idea earlier
the corporate culture it's not just what comes from inside the complex
Cagle let the marketplace for analytics the next on early it's
incentive in exchange for innovation. Its TopCoder in exchange for
IT solutions. I think a culture that embraces
open innovation and external ideas in addition to the internal cultures is really
essential to move at that pace in digital.
Just to add maybe other industries were doing this
but also
partnering with our own customers and consumers because actually we've
had this
this old-fashioned idea one of the panel this morning was about focus groups and
are you get a few to understand your consumers because the segment them, etc.,
that that's quite an old-fashioned idea actually
partnering with the consumers themselves so that they themselves are telling us what
they want to do
in the same way that employees the example I was using is absolutely...
it's a big ecosystem. Exactly. And actually
trying to get consumers to actually shape propositions. We're launching
something later this year which we're now testing
with our own consumers to say how will that work. Maybe that sounds odd
but for financial services we haven't done that much in the past.
Please keep the questions coming. Hash tag digital disruption.
Tom's got a question which i think is an interesting one because it talks about
digital government
and digital citizens and its success. Can digital be used to engage the wider
electorate
more during a term and perhaps we tend to think so much in business terms
we forget about the impact digital can have in terms of governments. Again
David have you seen sort of the
the whole impact of digital on governments in the way that they're
approaching and thinking about government services?
Not nearly enough. I mean a lot of Americans have noted Obama got elected
with a much more social
inclusive approach that he actually has governed and
I don't think he's used digital nearly enough I don't think they're that many
members of the US federal government that
that fully are tapping into this opportunity although the ones that do
are really I think strengthening their electability.
So it's a huge opportunity and I think it's widely accepted that
these changes will change governance and even the nature of the nation-state
ultimately as much as they change business. Paul, are you seeing anything?
I agree with what David said on
the pace of change. I think there's a great deal of opportunity yet
to engage the digital citizen. We do a lot of thinking about
in some markets there's real
real great potential by leading digital technology more effectively for example
in India the way they are using the unique ID ID system to more effectively channel
aid to the right people so that
eliminate corruption in the diversion of aid and get right aid to the right
people at the right point in time we need it
and its by lead to a lot of digital identification and
digital services
to get that aid to the right people and I think looking at technology in that lens
will serve and provide the citizen with a better experience
and probably more effectively meet their needs by providing the same services digitally.
One of my big observations it seems to be that
many emerging countries that want more
if you like, digital government are actually trying to be more proactive in engaging their
citizens in terms of what shape those
services should take rather than more traditional governments which have
tended just to sort of say
we'll digitize just existing types of services which goes back a lot to, I think this
issue about cost and efficiency
versus actually being much more proactive how do we get
the citizens engaged in the process much earlier in the
in the way and i think that's a fundamental change that's taking place.
Maybe one point to add there, I think the important point is responsiveness here
in terms of
if if I think about business but if I think about politics and society
more generally
there is a logical expectation that any of us that we would
get a a response much quicker each time we have a query or each time we have a
view as a citizen actually I see it from a business perspective actually.
Luckily, we won an award last year as the
sorta the best socially connected bank bank in the UK
and the only reason why we won the award is because we respond very quickly to
tweets or to
to any of the tweets that we receive in our account or any comments and actually
that's the only thing
the main the main issue was responsiveness clearly
you know whence all the banks responded the same rate then it's a quality of the
responses that matter
but I think the same applies to society more generally into politics and some
of that responsiveness that maybe to your point Obama displayed in
and before being elected that responsiveness is quite important I
think
even local politicians need to do that. You mentioned this trust research that was
announced this morning one the other findings was that
government is trust that much less than business and I would say
one of the reasons is that business is way ahead of government in terms of
being responsive to its customers. Government doesn't generally even know
how to think
of citizens as customers especially in the more developed countries
as you pointed out. That's good so a question from Phillip in Washington.
Obviously he's been impressed by the number of sort of
high-tech gear gizmos that you're wearing but what he's basically saying
is
are we gonna see a lot more wearable tech?
Obviously there's a lot of press recently about what's going on in Las
Vegas
So is that where things are going? We going to see more of that Paul?
Technology is fashion. There's a lot of fashion to the technologist you
think of a smartphone so much
appeals to the users of smart phones, the apps on smartphones, the
you know the different devices. I think design is
is is is imperative to your getting the right experience that you
wanna get to the consumer
with the device. I think there's more more that to come. My son's got
his snowboarding helmet that's got the heads up display in the goggles in the
sound in his ears and
you know it's it's becoming part of everything that we do.
I couldn't agree more with that but I think it goes when even beyond that this
whole quantified self moment before participating in
is really going deeper into the medical community and there's a tech pioneer who
is a
participating in this year's Davos that actually makes a pill
the you swallow the does medical measurements inside your gut
and uses the chemical reaction in your stomach
in order to generate the power to broadcast that out of your body
and then dissolves in your stomach that's the kind of thing that nobody
could have imagined
until recently. There's so much progress happening
because also that is then being measured with digital tools on the outside.
Its one point they actually, it's interesting, I mentioned briefly my
my own personal experience by the way I don't recommend sharing
with all of your family because you got
the calls of why have you slept only X number of hours at Davos.
But, actually the important point if you can share it with insurance
industry I mentioned earlier
the same is true for smart cars. If in a smart car you can actually know if
you're a good driver a bad driver you have an incentive to share that with
insurance company or with your bank so
I think and obviously there the medical industry is in their health care is a huge
area.
But in financial services I could definitely see us now collaborating much
more technology companies in the way that we probably were again not doing
two three even
ten years ago when the Internet and other disruptive technologies came in.
And I think we also see it alot with things like asset management where the ability to
have picked up this place would you tell people to be much more
efficient in terms the way they repair things. Another question coming in from
London which is
If you put your arm your hats on and sorta crystal balls
The key question I guess a lot of people watching are interested to know is
which industries do you think are going to get
most disrupted by all this change in the digital world?
Is it is a banking? Is it insurance or should we really be looking to asset
based industries?
Where which industries would you really point to for digital disruption?
Maybe there's a short to medium term issue in there as well.
I think it's hard to create a hierarchy because honestly there is
really no limit to the disruption thats going on but if I were picking one it
might not be an industry would be
education that's partly because I want it to be disrupted so badly cuz I think
it's
failing society so abysmally.
You know it's probably just a better pace that I think it can hit
you know and will hit all the industries. An issue is they have a
lot of digital content what to do.
Financial services, publishing, you can see it hitting there more quickly
because they're
its easier to deploy and see some of the
new business models take hold in those types of industries but it little things but
quickly and
we're seeing it in medical care and heavy you know industrial equipment in many
areas move very fast as well.
For banking if I within Financial Services get that in itself is a very
broad church I think the consumer side will probably evolve a bit quicker
and within that I would see the area of payment when we've seen already a lot of
disruption.
That will be be the most disrupted so in the immediate term
but actually, the longer term view who knows right? When four years ago here
at Davos nobody would have predicted not even the
bracelets we're wearing let alone a lot of the other things that
One of my favorite new technologies is square cash
which is so brilliant because if someone sends you money
all you have to do is accept it with your debit card and forever after you
can then send people money without
any for the registration or action and that is the kind of simplicity
that is very disruptive. It's called frictionless...
frictionless. We're getting close to work to wrapping up
here so what I'd like to ask you is
past as the World Economic Forum in Davos been disrupted digitally? Are
you seeing any changes as a result of what's going on here
and maybe just a combined that with one reflection for 2014 which you think that
people listening would be would be really interested in so Antonio just
starting with you
sorta one reflection on this for 2014 one sort of thought about
what you see the fact we're running the webcast it Davos is a first so
that's a clear sign that digital is moving us on. My briefing notes this year
with the plane on my iPad I kinda resisted printing them.
I think you can definitely see and I wouldn't say that
a lot of people here at Davos are the early adopters of technologies but some
are some are not actually can see
definitely Davos feels a bit more at digitally enabled than in previous
years
I think in terms of the sort 2014 point I ventured the that the tipping point
kinda
idea earlier that Marissa Mayers and others have mentioned we've been talking
about tipping point for a very very long time but I think 2014
we will see particularly for our industry the competitors that are really
making a difference and I think we will start to
to see a divergence in terms of customer service customer
satisfaction and ultimately market shares and performance.
And I have to ask you this so if it is the tipping point how
what are you gonna do different as a leader do you think in 2014 firms what your
performance objectives which I'm not by the way
what would be different in them do you think as a result of what
what we've been talking about? I won't go too much into that but even
last year everything about it that's actually been doing a lot of work
digital
is one about three global priorities for retail so and actually only have to
repair it is actually
it tells you how significant it is and actually it is one of the three big
priorities in my scorecard so I will all make sure that that gets done.
okay David? Well I think if you look at Davos the degree to which social media
has been embraced here is stunning I used to feel
that the digital economy and technology generally was underplayed in the
discussions at Davos again going back to my point that
leaders generally under appreciate the gravity of the transformation underway
but I think
Klaus Schwab and the forum have finally
really recognized this is absolutely central to their constituencies and they
have to help their
participants really get it a lot more deeply than they have up to now the one
opening sessions today was Marissa Mayer, Marc Benioff, John Chambers and the
CEOs at the AT&T and BT
that was a big big change to start out with something like that. And it was massively
oversubscribed. Half as many people were outside the session. They should
have had it in the biggest room.
Paul? I'd echo
what David and Antonio just said. That this is digital in the way
that WEF is conducted in Davos here. A lot of social, a lot of technology
involved and also
a lot of technology in the discussion. A lot of the disruptors here, a great panel as you
as you
described in many others that are here representing digital. I'd say
the change for 2014 I'd look to
would be more the big organizations being on the front foot when we come out
next year and talked with a lot of confidence about how their
taking forward digital disruption into their organizations and their industries more so
than we see this year which is still kinda early adopters. That's great and let me
thank the panalist particularly for their insights on digital disruption.
I think whether you're looking at it through the lens of how the customer
experience is going to change
or whether you're thinking about collaboration in the partners that you
going to be working with in 2014
or just the whole sort of digital skills that need
in businesses today around the backbone of your organization.
All of these I think you're going to see dramatic changes as we go through
2014 we hope we've stimulated a little bit of a conversation
a little bit of a dialogue if you want to keep the conversation going
its hash tag digital disruption and thanks very much indeed for joining us.
And thank you again to our panelists.