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AND DOCTORS WHO TAKE CARE
OF THOSE PATIENTS, AND IS
TERRIBLE FOR OUR TAXPAYERS.
THANK YOU, MADAM PRESIDENT.
I YIELD THE FLOOR.
I SUGGEST THE ABSENCE OF A
QUORUM.
THE
THE ROLL.
MADAM PRESIDENT?
THE
SENATOR FROM TEXAS.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I UNDERSTAND
I ASK FOR ITS --
THERE IS A BILL AT THE DESK, AND
THE
CALL.
SENATE IS CURRENTLY IN A QUORUM
MADAM PRESIDENT, I ASK THAT THE
QUORUM CALL BE LIFTED.
WITHOUT
OBJECTION.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I UNDERSTAND
THERE'S A BILL AT THE DESK, AND
I ASK FOR ITS FIRST READING.
THE
CLERK WILL READ THE TITLE OF THE
BILL FOR THE FIRST TIME.
A BILL TO IMPROVE
INFORMATION SECURITY AND FOR
OTHER PURPOSES.
S. 3342.
I NOW ASK FOR
A SECOND READING, AND IN ORDER
TO PLACE THE BILL ON THE
CALENDAR UNDER THE PROVISIONS OF
RULE 14, I OBJECT TO MY OWN
REQUEST.
OBJECTION HAVING BEEN HEARD, THE
TITLE OF THE BILL WILL BE READ
FOR THE SECOND TIME IN THE NEXT
LEGISLATIVE DAY.
THANK YOU,
MADAM PRESIDENT.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I RISE TODAY
BECAUSE WE HAVE INTRODUCED A NEW
VERSION OF THE STRENGTHENING AND
ENHANCING CYBERSECURITY BY USING
RESEARCH, EDUCATION AND
INFORMATION AND TECHNOLOGY ACT
KNOWN AS THE
SECURE I.T. ACT.
SENATOR McCAIN AND I, ALONG
WITH SENATOR CHAMBLISS,
GRASSLEY, MURKOWSKI, COATS, BURR
AND JOHNSON, ARE REINTRODUCING
THE SECURE I.T. ACT AFTER MAKING
IMPROVEMENTS AND CLARIFICATIONS
IN RESPONSE TO CONSTRUCTIVE
FEEDBACK THAT WE HAVE RECEIVED
FROM THE FIRST BILL THAT WE
INTRODUCED.
WE ARE EMPLOYING RULE 14 ON THIS
BILL BECAUSE IT IS CLEAR THAT IT
WILL NOT RECEIVE THE BENEFIT OF
THE TRADITIONAL COMMITTEE
PROCESS AND THE MAJORITY LEADER
HAS INDICATED HE INTENDS TO
DEBATE THIS ISSUE ON THE SENATE
FLOOR IN JULY.
SO WHAT THOSE OF US WHO ARE
COSPONSORS OF THIS BILL ARE
TRYING TO DO IS HAVE OUR VERSION
OF A CYBERSECURITY BILL ON THE
FLOOR INTRODUCED SO THAT
EVERYONE WILL BE ABLE TO SEE IT,
AND THEN WHEN THE COMMITTEE BILL
IS INTRODUCED WE WILL BE ABLE TO
DEBATE THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
OUR BILLS.
THE SPONSORS OF OUR BILL INCLUDE
EIGHT RANKING MEMBERS OF
COMMITTEES AND SUBCOMMITTEES
CYBERSECURITY.
THAT HAVE JURISDICTION OVER
WE HAVE COMBINED OUR EXPERTISE
TO DEVELOP A BALANCED PIECE OF
LEGISLATION THAT WE BELIEVE WILL
GREATLY ENHANCE OUR COUNTRY'S
CYBERSECURITY OF THE
INFRASTRUCTURE THAT COULD BE
AFFECTED.
WE BELIEVE IT IS NOW TIME FOR
CONGRESS TO ACT.
THE NATION FACES AN EVOLVING
ARRAY OF THREATS FROM HACKERS,
CRIMINAL GROUPS AND TERRORISTS
THAT SEEK TO SABOTAGE NETWORKS,
GAIN ACCESS TO SENSITIVE
GOVERNMENT INFORMATION AND STEAL
VALUABLE INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY.
SECURE I.T. IS CENTERED ON
CONSENSUS ITEMS T-RBS IT SETS
ASIDE CONTROVERSIAL PROVISIONS
THAT ARE OF QUESTIONABLE VALUE
AT THIS TIME AND WE BELIEVE OUR
BILL CAN PASS BOTH CHAMBERS.
IT OFFERS A BALANCED APPROACH
THAT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ADVANCE
CYBERSECURITY IN BOTH THE PUBLIC
AND PRIVATE SECTORS BY FOCUSING
ON FOUR ISSUES AND AREAS ON TKH
WE BELIEVE EVERYONE CAN AGREE.
FIRST, TO FACILITATE SHARING OF
CYBERTHREAT INFORMATION AMONG
PRIVATE SECTOR ENTITIES AND TO
AND FROM THE GOVERNMENT.
SECOND.
TO BETTER SECURE FEDERAL
NETWORKS, INCLUDING REQUIRING
FEDERAL CONTRACTORS TO NOTIFY
THE FEDERAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCIES OF CYBERATTACKS THAT
WOULD THREATEN GOVERNMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE.
THIRD, TO STRENGTHEN THE ABILITY
TO PROSECUTE CYBERCRIME.
AND FOURTH, TO PRIORITIZE
CYBERSECURITY RESEARCH AND
DEVELOPMENT SO THAT OUR NATION
WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD THE WORLD
IN THIS AREA.
SO LET ME START WITH NUMBER ONE.
FACILITATE SHARING OF
CYBERTHREAT INFORMATION.
SECURE I.T. HELPS THE PRIVATE
SECTOR COMBAT CYBERATTACKS BY
BREAKING DOWN BARRIERS TO
SHARING INFORMATION ABOUT
THREATS AND VULNERABILITIES.
CURRENTLY ANTITRUST LAWS AND
LIABILITY CONCERNS INHIBIT
PRIVATE COMPANIES FROM
EXCHANGING INFORMATION THAT WE
BELIEVE IS NECESSARY TO DEFEND
AGAINST AND RESPOND TO
CYBERTHREATS.
I WAS TALKING TO SOMEONE LAST
NIGHT WHO IS IN THE VERY
HIGH-TECH INTERNET FIELD, AND
THERE ARE GREAT CONCERNS ABOUT
THEIR COMPANY CALLING A
COMPETITOR AND SAYING WE'RE
SEEING SIGNS OF A POSSIBLE
THREAT HERE, AND WE WANTED TO
SHARE WHAT THE TYPE OF RED FLAG
WE'RE SEEING IS SO THAT YOU
WOULD BE ABLE TO CHECK YOUR
NETWORKS TO SEE IF YOU'RE
GETTING THE SAME THING.
THESE ARE TWO
COMPETITORS, BUT THIS IS NOT AN
ANTICOMPETITIVE SITUATION.
IT'S NOT SOMETHING THAT WOULD
BE, WE BELIEVE, SUBJECT TO
ANTITRUST.
THEY'RE STILL COMPETITORS, BUT
EVERYBODY WANTS SECURITY FOR ALL
OF OUR NETWORKS IN THIS COUNTRY
AGAINST ANY KIND OF
INTERVENTION, WHETHER IT'S
CRIMINAL OR FOREIGN
INTELLIGENCE.
SECONDLY, OUR BILL'S LIABILITY
PROTECTIONS AND LIMITED
ANTITRUST EXEMPTION WILL ALLOW
THESE COMPANIES TO RAPIDLY
RESPOND, SO YOU DON'T HAVE TO GO
TO A LAWYER AND SAY, WOULD THIS
BE ANTITRUST IF WE CALLED OUR
COMPETITOR AND STARTED SHARING
THIS INFORMATION RIGHT AWAY?
SO IT NEEDS TO BE TIMELY, FAST,
AND SAFE.
THAT'S THE CRITERIA.
SECONDLY, SHARING SHOULD BE A
TWO-WAY STREET.
OUR BILL SETS UP A FRAMEWORK
THAT TIMELY SHARES CLASSIFIED,
DECLASSIFIED AND UNCLASSIFIED
INFORMATION BY THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT WITH TRUSTED
PRIVATE-SECTOR ENTITIES, WHILE
ALLOWING PRIVATE-SECTOR
COMPANIES TO SHARE CYBERTHREAT
INFORMATION WITH THE GOVERNMENT.
SINCE THE INTRODUCTION OF SECURE
I.T., WE HAVE BEEN WORKING WITH
STAKEHOLDERS IN ALL OF THE AREAS
OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND INTERNET
ACCESS TO MAKE A NUMBER OF
IMPROVEMENTS AND CLARIFICATIONS
OF THE BILL.
I AM PLEASED THAT WE INTRODUCED
THE BILL EARLY, THAT WE GOT THE
FEEDBACK FROM THE DIFFERENT
STAKEHOLDERS AND WE HAVE NOW
BEEN ABLE TO ADJUST TO THOSE
THAT WOULD ALSO HELP THE BILL
BUT ALSO PROTECT PRIVACY AND
PROTECT THE ISSUE THAT WE'RE
TRYING TO ADDRESS, WHICH OF
COURSE IS SAFETY AND
CYBERSECURITY.
WE TIGHTEN THE DEFINITION OF
WHAT INFORMATION IS SHARED.
WE REFINED THE PROCESS FOR
SHARING IT.
THAT ONLY
ESSENTIAL INFORMATION IS SHARED
AND THAT IT IS HANDLED
APPROPRIATELY.
FOR EXAMPLE, IT IS VITAL THAT
FEDERAL AGENCIES BE INFORMED IF
THEIR SYSTEMS ARE COMPROMISED.
OUR BILL REQUIRES FEDERAL
CONTRACTORS TO COORDINATE WITH
THEIR SUPERVISORY AGENCIES AND
TO NOTIFY THEM OF SIGNIFICANT
CYBERINCIDENTS THAT WOULD IMPEDE
THEIR MISSION.
WE HAVE ADDED EXPLICIT AND
STRONG PRIVACY PROTECTIONS AND
INCREASED OVERSIGHT THROUGHOUT
OUR REVISED BILL.
AT EVERY STAGE OF INFORMATION
SHARING, THERE ARE STATUTORY
SAFEGUARDS THAT WILL ENSURE
CYBER THREAT INFORMATION IS
HANDLED IN A MANNER THAT WILL
PROTECT THE PRIVACY AND CIVIL
LIBERTIES OF ALL AMERICANS WHILE
PRESERVING THE ABILITY TO
ADDRESS CYBER THREATS THAT COULD
AFFECT THEM AS WELL AS OTHER
MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC.
NETWORKS.
NUMBER TWO, SECURE FEDERAL
NEEDS TO DO A
MUCH BETTER JOB OF SECURING ITS
OWN NETWORKS.
TO ADDRESS THIS PROBLEM, SECURE
I.T. PROVIDES NECESSARY REFORMS
TO THE FEDERAL INFORMATION
SECURITY MANAGEMENT ACT,
MODERNIZING THE WAY THE
GOVERNMENT MONITORS AND
MITIGATES ITS OWN CYBER RISKS.
SECURE I.T. REQUIRES AGENCIES TO
USE AUTOMATEED REAL-TIME NETWORK
MONITORING, UPGRADING THEIR
CURRENT PRIMARILY PAPER BASED
REPORTING.
OUR REVISIONS ALSO ENSURE THAT
AGENCIES WILL BE CONTINUOUSLY
UPDATING THEIR TECHNOLOGIES TO
PREVENT AND REMEDIATE
SIGNIFICANT CYBER INCIDENTS.
NUMBER THREE, WE PROSECUTE CYBER
CRIME.
WE UPDATE THE FEDERAL CRIMINAL
STATUTES AND STREAMLINE EXISTING
CONFUSEING PENALTIES TO
FACILITATE THE PROSECUTION OF
CYBER CRIMINALS.
AND NUMBER FOUR, CYBERSECURITY
AND DEVELOPMENT IS
ESSENTIAL TO HARNESS INNOVATION
AND TO TRAIN I.T. PROFESSIONALS
TO COUNTER FUTURE ATTACKS.
BY FOCUSING ON THESE FOUR AREAS,
MADAM PRESIDENT, WE BELIEVE THAT
WE CAN SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVE THE
CYBERSECURITY OF OUR COUNTRY.
FACILITATING THE SHARING OF
CYBER THREAT INFORMATION IN THE
PRIVATE SECTOR, SECURING FEDERAL
NETWORKS, STRENGTHENING CRIMINAL
PENALTIES FOR CYBER CRIMES AND
PRIORITIZING CYBER SECURITY
RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT.
EQUALLY IMPORTANT IS WHAT OUR
BILL DOES NOT DO.
SECURE I.T. DOES NOT GIVE THE
DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY
OPEN-ENDED POWER TO REGULATE
NETWORKS FOR INFRASTRUCTURE THAT
IT DEEMS TO BE CRITICAL.
IT DOES NOT GIVE THEM THE POWER
TO DETERMINE WHAT IS CRITICAL
INFRASTRUCTURE.
INSTEAD, WE TAKE A DIFFERENT
APPROACH THAT IS NOT
HEAVY-HANDED REGULATORY.
IT SETS UP A TRUE PARTNERSHIP
BETWEEN THE PUBLIC AND PRIVATE
SECTOR TO COMBAT THESE CYBER
THREATS.
WE WILL NOT IMPROVE THIS
COUNTRY'S CYBERSECURITY BY
CREATING AN ADVERSARIAL SYSTEM
BASED ON A REGULATORY COMPLIANCE
STRUCTURE.
WE BELIEVE SUBJECTING INDUSTRY
TO MORE REGULATION FROM AN
AGENCY THAT IS ILL EQUIPPED TO
UNDERSTAND THE PRIVATE SECTOR
SYSTEMS WILL ULTIMATELY ERODE
THE ABILITY OF BUSINESS TO
PROVIDE EFFECTIVE, NIMBLE AND
INNOVATIVE RESPONSES TO CYBER
THREATS.
DIVERTING PRECIOUS RESOURCES
FROM SECURITY AND INNOVATION TO
REGULATORY COMPLIANCE COULD
ULTIMATELY HARM SECURITY, NOT
IMPROVE IT, WHICH IS WHY WE ARE
TAKING THE DIFFERENT APPROACH
FROM THE MORE HEAVY-HANDED
REGULATORY APPROACH OF THE BILL
THAT CAME OUT OF COMMITTEE.
NOT WANT AMERICANS TO BE
FOOLED INTO A FALSE SENSE OF
SECURITY BY IMPOSING AN UNPROVEN
PRESCRIPTIVE REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK THAT NO AGENCY COULD
EFFECTIVELY IMPLEMENT, AND WE DO
NOT THINK THAT THE DEPARTMENT OF
HOMELAND SECURITY COULD.
I ENCOURAGE MY COLLEAGUES ON
BOTH SIDES OF THE AISLE TO JOIN
US IN SUPPORTING THE SECURE I.T.
ACT OF 2012.
AND, MADAM PRESIDENT, I WILL
JUST REITERATE AGAIN THAT OUR
BILL IS SPONSORED BY SENATOR
McCAIN AND MYSELF, SENATOR
CHAMBLISS, SENATOR GRASSLEY,
SENATOR MURKOWSKI, SENATOR
COATS, SENATOR BURR AND SENATOR
JOHNSON.
ALL OF WHOM -- JOHNSON OF
WISCONSIN.
ALL OF WHOM ARE EITHER RANKING
MEMBERS OF FULL COMMITTEES OR
SUBCOMMITTEES THAT HAVE A
JURISDICTION IN THIS AREA.
VERY HARD WITH
ALL OF THE DIFFERENT INTERESTS.
THE PRIVACY GROUPS, THE GROUPS
THAT HANDLE THE PRIVATE SECTOR,
THE GROUPS THAT ARE FEDERAL
CONTRACTORS TO ASSURE THAT WE
ARE DOING THE BEST BALANCED
APPROACH THAT COULD POSSIBLY BE
DONE TO TAKE THE NEXT STEP WITH
A BILL THAT WE BELIEVE WE CAN
PASS IN THE SENATE BUT ALSO THE
HOUSE AND TO THE PRESIDENT, AND
I BELIEVE HE WILL SIGN IT
BECAUSE IT IS A MAJOR FIRST STEP
FORWARD.
THANK YOU, MADAM PRESIDENT, AND
I YIELD THE FLOOR.
A SENATOR: MADAM PRESIDENT?
THE
SENATOR FROM SOUTH DAKOTA.
I JUST WANT TO
INDICATE THAT LISTENING TO THE
SENATOR FROM TEXAS' REMARKS
ABOUT INTRODUCTION OF A BILL
APPARENTLY ON CYBERSECURITY HOW
CRITICALLY IMPORTANT THAT IS TO
THE COUNTRY.
I'M A RELATIVELY NEW MEMBER OF
THE INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE, BUT
IF THERE IS ANYTHING I'VE
LEARNED, IT'S WHAT A MAJOR
THREAT THIS IS TO OUR COUNTRY
AND HOW CRITICALLY IMPORTANT IT
IS TO ADDRESS IT.
I WANT TO COMMEND THE SENATOR
FROM TEXAS FOR HER LEADERSHIP
AND APPRECIATE THAT SHE AND HER
COLLEAGUES HAVE TAKEN THIS STEP
OF ACTUALLY INTRODUCING
LEGISLATION.
MADAM PRESIDENT,
I WANT TO THANK THE SENATOR FROM
NORTH DAKOTA AND APPRECIATE VERY
MUCH THAT HE IS ON THE
INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE AND KNOWS
THE SENSITIVITIES AND ALL OF THE
STAKEHOLDERS THAT WE MUST WORK
WITH IN ORDER TO DO THE RIGHT
THING FOR OUR COUNTRY, BOTH IN
THE PRIVATE SECTOR AS WELL AS IN
OUR GOVERNMENT INFRASTRUCTURE.
AS ALWAYS, THE SENATOR FROM
IS A PERSON WHO IS
VISIONARY AND LOOKING OUT FOR
THE BEST INTERESTS OF OUR
COUNTRY, AND I HOPE THAT WE CAN
COME TOGETHER ON THIS BILL.
THANK YOU, MADAM PRESIDENT.
I THANK THE SENATOR.
I LOOK FORWARD TO REVIEWING HER
PROPOSAL.
HOPEFULLY TOGETHER WE CAN FIND A
WAY TO GET SOMETHING PASSED THAT
COUNTRY.
WILL FURTHER PROTECT OUR
MADAM PRESIDENT, I HAVE SIX
UNANIMOUS CONSENT REQUESTS FOR
COMMITTEES TO MEET DURING
TODAY'S SESSION OF THE SENATE.
THEY HAVE THE APPROVAL OF THE
MAJORITY AND MINORITY LEADERS.
I ASK UNANIMOUS CONSENT THESE
REQUESTS BE AGREED TO AND THAT
THESE REQUESTS BE PRINTED IN THE
WITHOUT
RECORD.
OBJECTION.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I
HAVE COME TO THE FLOOR TODAY TO
TALK ABOUT THE STATE OF OUR
ECONOMY, WHERE WE HAVE COME
FROM, WHERE WE'RE HEADED, THE
CRITICAL CHALLENGES FACING OUR
NATION, AND I WANT TO GO BACK
AND REMINDED PEOPLE OF WHERE WE
HAVE COME FROM BECAUSE I THINK
IT'S VERY IMPORTANT TO PUT IN
CONTEXT THE CIRCUMSTANCES THAT
WE NOW CONFRONT.
THE ECONOMIC
CRISIS OF 2008 AND 2009 WAS THE
WORST RECESSION SINCE THE GREAT
DEPRESSION.
BY THE WAY, THIS WAS NOT THE
CREATION OF BARACK OBAMA.
HE INHERITED THIS MESS.
HE HAS DONE REALLY QUITE A GOOD
JOB OF GETTING US MOVING IN A
BETTER PROTECTION, BUT MORE OF
THAT LATER.
REMEMBER IN THE FOURTH QUARTER
OF 2008 -- THAT'S THE LAST
QUARTER BEFORE THIS PRESIDENT
TOOK OFFICE -- THE ECONOMY WAS
ACTUALLY SHRINKING AT A RATE OF
ALMOST 9%, AND IN THE FIRST
MONTH OF 2009, WE LOST 800,000
JOBS.
THE HOUSING MARKET WAS IN
CRISIS.
HOME BUILDING AND SALES WERE
PLUMMETING.
WE FACED RECORD FORECLOSURES.
THE FINANCIAL MARKET CRISIS WAS
COLLAPSE.
THREATENING GLOBAL ECONOMIC
IN FACT, I WILL NEVER FORGET
BEING CALLED TO A MEETING IN THE
CAPITAL, IN 2008 IN THE FALL,
AND I WAS THE LAST ONE TO
ARRIVE.
IT WAS THE LEADERS OF THE HOUSE
AND THE SENATE, REPUBLICANS AND
DEMOCRATS, AND THERE WAS THE
CHAIRMAN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE
AND THE SECRETARY OF THE
TREASURY AND THE BUSH
ADMINISTRATION TELLING US THEY
WERE GOING TO TAKE OVER A.I.G.
THE NEXT MORNING, AND THEY TOLD
US IF THEY DID NOT, THEY
BELIEVED THERE WOULD BE A
FINANCIAL COLLAPSE IN THIS
COUNTRY WITHIN DAYS.
I TELL YOU, THAT GETS YOUR
ATTENTION.
BUT THAT'S THE CIRCUMSTANCES
LATE 2008.
THAT WERE BEING CONFRONTED IN
LET'S GO TO THAT NEXT SLIDE, IF
WE CAN.
SINCE THAT TIME, WE HAVE SEEN A
DRAMATIC IMPROVEMENT.
HERE'S THE ECONOMY IN THE FOURTH
QUARTER OF 2008 BEFORE PRESIDENT
OBAMA TOOK OFFICE, SHRINKING AT
A RATE OF ALMOST 9%, AND IN THE
SUBSEQUENT QUARTERS, IT
TO SHRINK UNTIL IT
BEGAN TO GET BETTER IN 2000 --
LATE 2009, FRANKLY BECAUSE OF
STIMULUS AND TARP THAT HELPED
START TO TURN THINGS AROUND, AND
SINCE THAT TIME, WE HAVE HAD
CONSISTENT GROWTH IN THE
ECONOMY.
NOT AS ROBUST AS WE WOULD LIKE,
BUT NONETHELESS CONSISTENT
GROWTH.
A RATHER REMARKABLE TURNAROUND
GIVEN HOW SERIOUS THE ECONOMIC
DOWNTURN WAS.
WE ALSO SEE THE SAME PATTERN
WITH RESPECT TO THE PRIVATE
SECTOR JOBS PICTURE.
AGAIN IN JANUARY OF 2009, IN ONE
MONTH ALONE, WE LOST MORE THAN
800,000 JOBS.
THOSE WERE PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS.
MONTH.
MORE THAN 800,000 JOBS IN A
AGAIN, IN ABOUT 2009, THINGS
BEGAN TO TURN.
WE GOT BACK TO GROWING JOBS.
IN FACT, WE HAVE HAD OVER
4.5 MILLION JOBS IN THE PRIVATE
SECTOR CREATED SINCE THE
TURNAROUND BEGAN.
AND AGAIN, JOB GROWTH NOT AS
ROBUST AS WE WOULD LIKE BUT
NONETHELESS QUITE A REMARKABLE
TURNAROUND FROM WHERE IT WAS.
MADAM PRESIDENT, WHEN WE LOOK
BACK AT THE ECONOMIC CRISIS AND
WE LOOK AT WHAT WAS DONE, WHAT
WE HAVE SEEN LOOKING AT PREVIOUS
CRISES IS THAT ECONOMIC RECOVERY
IS SHALLOWER AND TAKES MUCH
LONGER AFTER A FINANCIAL CRISIS,
SO YOU CAN'T COMPARE THIS TO THE
GARDEN-VARIETY RECESSIONS THAT
WAR II.
WE HAVE FACED SINCE WORLD
I THINK WE HAVE HAD NINE
RECESSIONS SINCE WORLD WAR II,
BUT THIS WENT FAR BEYOND A
TYPICAL RECESSION.
FINANCIAL SECTOR.
THIS WAS ENORMOUS DAMAGE TO THE
AND LOOKING HISTORICALLY, HERE'S
WHAT DR. REINHART OF THE PETER
PETERSON INSTITUTE FOR
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND
DR. VINCENT REINHART OF THE
AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE
HAVE FOUND IN THEIR RESEARCH."
REALLY PER CAPITA G.D.P. GROWTH
RATES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER
DURING THE DECADE FOLLOWING
SEVERE FINANCIAL CRISES.
IN THE TEN-YEAR WINDOW FOLLOWING
SEVERE FINANCIAL CRISES,
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES ARE
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN IN THE
DECADE THAT PRECEDED THE
CRISIS."
NOW, MADAM PRESIDENT, THAT'S THE
CIRCUMSTANCE WE'RE IN.
THAT IS NOT THE FAULT OF
PRESIDENT OBAMA.
HE INHERITED THIS MESS.
AND THE FACT IS AFTER A
FINANCIAL CRISIS, IF YOU LOOK
BACK HISTORICALLY, IT TAKES UP
TO TEN YEARS TO RECOVER.
LET'S GO TO THE NEXT SLIDE.
AND FOR THOSE WHO SAY WELL, THE
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT RESPONSE
DIDN'T WORK, HASN'T MADE ANY
DIFFERENCE, I DON'T THINK THAT'S
TRUE.
I DON'T THINK THAT WILL STAND UP
TO SCRUTINY.
TWO OF THE MOST DISTINGUISHED
ECONOMISTS IN THE COUNTRY, ALAN
BLINDER, WHO IS FORMER DEPUTY
CHAIRMAN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE,
AND MARK ZANDI, WHO IS ACTUALLY
ONE OF THE ECONOMIC ADVISORS TO
THE JOHN McCAIN CAMPAIGN, SAID
"WE FIND THAT ITS EFFECTS" --
TALKING ABOUT THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT ACTIONS TO DEAL WITH
THE CRISIS, THAT ITS EFFECTS ON
REAL G.D.P., JOBS AND INFLATION
ARE HUGE AND PROBABLY AVERTED
WHAT COULD HAVE BEEN CALLED
GREAT DEPRESSION 2.0.
THEY WENT ON TO SAY -- "WHEN ALL
IS SAID AND DONE, THE FINANCIAL
AND FISCAL POLICIES WILL HAVE
COST TAXPAYERS A SUBSTANTIAL
SUM, BUT NOT NEARLY AS MUCH AS
MOST HAD FEARED AND NOT NEARLY
AS MUCH AS IF POLICYMAKERS HAD
NOT ACTED AT ALL.
IF THE COMPREHENSIVE POLICY
RESPONSES SAVED THE ECONOMY FROM
ANOTHER DEPRESSION, AS WE
ESTIMATE, THEY WERE WELL WORTH
THEIR COST."
MADAM PRESIDENT, TWO OF THE MOST
DISTINGUISHED ECONOMISTS IN THE
COUNTRY TELLING US HAD WE NOT
TAKEN THE ACTIONS THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT DID, WE WOULD HAVE
HAD A DEPRESSION, A DEPRESSION.
THEY ALSO LOOKED AT WHAT WOULD
HAVE HAPPENED WITHOUT THE
FEDERAL RESPONSE ON THE JOBS
FRONT, AND HERE'S WHAT THEY
FOUND, RUNNING THEIR ECONOMETRIC
MODELS.
THE GREEN LINE IS THE JOBS WITH
THE FEDERAL RESPONSE.
THE RED LINE IS THE ESTIMATE OF
WHAT WOULD HAVE HAPPENED WITHOUT
THE FEDERAL RESPONSE.
YOU WILL SEE, THEY FIND A
DIFFERENCE OF ABOUT EIGHT
MILLION JOBS.
IN OTHER WORDS, WE HAVE EIGHT
MILLION MORE JOBS THAN WE WOULD
HAVE OTHERWISE HAD HAD THE
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT DONE NOTHING.
I JUST SAY THIS TO MY COLLEAGUES
WHO SAY WELL, STIMULUS TARP,
THAT DIDN'T WORK BECAUSE WE'RE
NOT GROWING AS RAPIDLY AS WE
WOULD LIKE.
BUT LET'S THINK BACK.
WHAT WAS HAPPENING WHEN THOSE
STEPS WERE TAKEN?
THE
THE ECONOMY WASN'T GROWING, THE
ECONOMY WAS SHRINKING.
WE WEREN'T GETTING MORE JOBS.
WE WERE LOSING JOBS AT A RECORD
RATE.
SO, MADAM PRESIDENT, TO THOSE
WHO SAY NONE OF THESE FEDERAL
ACTIONS WERE SUCCESSFUL, I SAY
I DON'T THINK THAT'S WHAT THE
RECORD SHOWS HERE.
I THINK WHAT THE RECORD SHOWS IS
THEY DIDN'T ACCOMPLISH ALL WE
WOULD LIKE, BUT THEY REALLY LED
TO QUITE A DRAMATIC TURNAROUND
FROM THE WORST RECESSION SINCE
THE GREAT DEPRESSION.
AND HERE ARE POSITIVE SIGNS WE
SEE NOW THAT ARE FACTS.
THEY'RE NOT PROJECTIONS,
THEY'RE FACTS.
WE HAVE HAD 27 CONSECUTIVE
MONTHS OF PRIVATE-SECTOR JOB
GROWTH, 11 CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS
OF REAL G.D.P. GROWTH, THE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IS DOWN FROM
THE 2009 PEAK, MANUFACTURING
HAS EXPANDED FOR 34 CONSECUTIVE
MONTHS, THE U.S. AUTO
HAVE RETURNED TO
PROFITABILITY, AND STATE
REVENUES ARE NOW SHOWING SIGNS
OF IMPROVEMENT.
SO HE, AGAIN, THIS -- SO,
AGAIN, THIS ISN'T POLITICAL
TALK.
THESE ARE FACTS, AND FACTS
MATTER.
AND THE FACTS DEMONSTRATE THERE
HAS BEEN QUITE A REMARKABLE
TURNAROUND.
AGAIN, THESE AREN'T WROA
PROAJECTIONS, THESE ARE FACTS.
OCCURRED.
THESE ARE THINGS THAT HAVE
MADAM PRESIDENT, IF WE THEN
COMPARE TO THE UNITED STATES'
PERFORMANCE TO OTHER COUNTRIES
WITH WHOM WE COMPETE, WE CAN
SEE THE UNITED STATES HAS REALLY
DONE THE BEST IN TERMS OF THE
COMPARISONS HERE.
SOME DEVELOPING NATIONS HAVE
CERTAINLY DONE BETTER THAN WE
HAVE, BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE
DEVELOPED WORLD, THE UNITED
STATES IS REALLY DOING THE BEST.
WE'RE DOING -- HERE'S OUR
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE.
THE TOP LINE.
FAR BETTER THAN THE EURO ZONE,
ALL THE EUROPEAN COUNTRIES,
THAT'S THE GREEN LINE.
IS THE RED LINE, WE'RE
DOING MUCH BETTER THAN THEM AND
MUCH BETTER THAN THE UNITED
KINGDOM.
SO IF WE LOOK AT HOW WE HAVE
DONE COMPARED TO THE REST OF THE
WORLD, WE'RE REALLY DOING MUCH
BETTER AT LEAST IN TERMS OF THE
DEVELOPED NATIONS.
MADAM PRESIDENT, WE KNOW THAT
EUROPE HAS GONE IN A SOMEWHAT
DIFFERENT DIRECTION.
THEY HAVE IMPOSED AUSTERITY AND
WITHOUT REGARD TO GROWTH
POLICIES.
AND HERE ARE THE HEADLINES FROM
THE INTERNATIONAL HERALD TRIBUNE
, AUSTERITY IS
STRANGLING EUROPE.
AND I'VE PULLED OUT A PARAGRAPH
BECAUSE I THINK IT SPEAKS VERY
WELL OF WHAT HAS BEEN THE EFFECT
OF THE EUROPEAN STRATEGY.
THE DIRECTION OF EUROPEAN AND
FINANCIAL POLICY MUST CHANGE.
AWAY FROM PURE AUSTERITY TOWARD
GROWTH.
GREECE, IRELAND, PORTUGAL,
ITALY AND SPAIN HAVE MADE
SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS IN
THEIR FINANCES.
BUT THE PROGRESS AND
STABILIZING -- BUT THE ECONOMIC
AND POLITICAL SITUATION IN THESE
COUNTRIES SHOWS THAT US A
EXPERT -- AUSTERITY ALONE IS
CRISIS.
NOT THE WAY TO RESOLVE THE
ON THE CONTRARY, THERE IS A
DANGER OF HALF STRANGLING
NATIONAL ECONOMIES WITH A STRICT
POLICY OF US AUSTERITY.
WE WOULD THEREFORE BE WELL
ADVISED TO CUSHION HARSH US
AUSTERITY MEASURES WITH PROGRAMS
FOR GROWTH.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I BELIEVE
THERE'S A LESSON IN THAT FOR US
AS WELL.
I AM AN UNVARNISHED DEFICIT
HAWK, HAVE BEEN MY DESIRE
CAREER, HAVE CALLED REPEATEDLY
FOR TO US GET OUR FISCAL HOUSE
IN ORDER, I BELIEVE IT'S
IMPERATIVE THAT WE DO BUT IT IS
ALSO IMPERATIVE THAT WE
RECOGNIZE THAT YOU DON'T IMPOSE
AUSTERITY ON A WEAK AND
STRUGGLING ECONOMY, YOU'LL ONLY
MAKE THINGS WORSE.
BACK ON FINANCIAL -- A
MORE SUSTAINABLE FINANCIAL PATH
HAS TO BE DONE IN A MEASURED
WAY.
ABSOLUTELY WE NEED A LONG-TERM
PLAN TO TAKE ON OUR DEFICITS AND
DEBT.
I'VE MADE THAT SPEECH 500 TIMES.
ABSOLUTELY THAT HAS TO BE DONE.
BUT THAT'S GOT TO BE DONE IN A
PHASED WAY AND THE AUSTERITY
SHOULD NOT BE IMPOSED UNTIL
WE'RE ON A STRONGER GROWTH PATH.
I THINK ECONOMIC HISTORY TELLS
US THAT, AND THAT'S A LESSON WE
NEED TO LEARN.
MADAM PRESIDENT, WHAT IS
HOLDING BACK THE U.S. ECONOMY
FROM A STRONGER RECOVERY?
WELL, WE'VE IDENTIFIED THESE
ELEMENTS.
NUMBER ONE, THE EUROPEAN DEBT
AND FINANCIAL CRISIS HAS THROWN
A CLOUD OVER GLOBAL MARKETS,
AND THEY ARE STILL OUR BIGGEST
TRADING PARTNERS.
SO A CHILLING OF ECONOMIC
ACTIVITY IN EUROPE HAS HAD AN
ADVERSE EFFECT ON OUR OWN
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE.
SECOND, THE IRAN/MIDDLE EAST
SITUATION HAS THREATENED TO
DISRUPT OIL SUPPLIES.
THAT CREATES UNCERTAINTY BECAUSE
WE KNOW IF THE STRAITS OF HOME
MUSE WERE CLOSED -- STRAITS OF
HORMUZ WERE CLOSED, ECONOMIC
ACTIVITY WOULD WEAKEN AND WE
WOULD BE HURT.
THAT HAS LED COMPANIES EVEN
THOUGH THEY HAVE $2 BILLION ON
THEIR BOOKS TO BE CAUTIOUS ABOUT
EXPANDING HIRING.
MADAM PRESIDENT, FEDERAL,
STATE, AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CUTBACKS HAVE ALSO CREATED
ECONOMIC DRAG.
I'LL GO TO THAT ISSUE IN A
MOMENT.
THE POLITICAL DEADLOCK ON FISCAL
ISSUES HERE IN CONGRESS HAS
CREATED UNCERTAINTY, AND WE
FACE OF COURSE THE THREAT FROM
THE FISCAL CLIFF.
THE FISCAL CLIFF IS THE FACT AT
THE END OF THIS YEAR ALL OF THE
BUSH TAX CUTS ARE GOING TO
EXPIRE WHICH MEANS AN AUTOMATIC
AMERICAN.
TAX INCREASE FOR VIRTUALLY EVERY
SPENDING
CUTS, $1.2 TRILLION IN THE
SO-CALLED SEQUESTER, ABOUT
EVENLY SHARED BETWEEN DEFENSE
AND NONDEFENSE.
THAT WOULD REDUCE DEMAND, THAT
WOULD FURTHER REDUCE ECONOMIC
GROWTH.
AND, OF COURSE, THE HOUSING
MARKET CONTINUES TO POSE A
THREAT AT LEAST IN MANY PARTS OF
THE COUNTRY, CERTAINLY IN
NEVADA AND ARIZONA AND FLORIDA
AND PARTS OF CALIFORNIA.
THE HOUSING MARKET CRISIS STILL
LEAVES AN OVERHANG.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I THOUGHT THIS
ARTICLE IN "THE NEW YORK TIMES"
ON SATURDAY, MAY 5 WAS VERY
INTERESTING BECAUSE I THINK IF
WE GAVE A QUIZ 0 THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE LISTENING TO THE DEBATES
HERE THEY WOULD CONCLUDE THE
GOVERNMENT HAS GOTTEN BIGGER AND
ADMINISTRATION.
BIGGER DURING THE OBAMA
BUT IT'S NOT TRUE.
YOU KNOW, A PREVIOUS
PRESIDENTS -- A PREVIOUS
PRESIDENT SAID FACTS ARE
STUBBORN THINGS AND THESE ARE
FACTS.
THE GOVERNMENT, IF YOU TAKE
STATE, LOCAL, AND FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT AND YOU COMBINE
THEM, THE GOVERNMENT IS GETTING
SMALLER IN THE UNITED STATES.
IN FACT, AGAIN, I PULLED OUT A
PARAGRAPH.
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 40 YEARS
THE GOVERNMENT SECTOR OF THE
AMERICAN ECONOMY HAS SHRUNK
DURING THE FIRST THREE YEARS OF
A PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATION.
SPENDING BY THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT ADJUSTED FOR
INFLATION HAS RISEN AT A SLOW
RATE UNDER PRESIDENT OBAMA.
BUT THAT INCREASE HAS BEEN MORE
THAN OFFSET BY A FALL IN
SPENDING BY STATE AND LOCAL
GOVERNMENTS WHICH HAVE BEEN
SQUEEZED BY WEAK TAX RECEIPTS.
IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF THIS
YEAR THE REAL GROSS DOMESTIC
PRODUCT FOR THE GOVERNMENT
INCLUDING STATE AND LOCAL
GOVERNMENTS AS WELL AS FEDERAL,
WAS 2% LOWER THAN IT WAS THREE
YEARS EARLIER WHEN BARACK OBAMA
TOOK OFFICE.
MADAM PRESIDENT, ALL THE TALK
WE HEAR ON THIS FLOOR ABOUT THE
IS
BLOVIATION, BLOVIATION.
BLOVIATION.
YOU KNOW, LET'S GET REAL.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED
STATES IS SHRINKING.
FACTS ARE STUB BOASH --
STUBBORN THINGS.
MADAM PRESIDENT,
MADAM PRESIDENT, THIS IS WHAT'S
HAPPENING TO THE U.S. GOVERNMENT
WORK FORCE UNDER THIS PRESIDENT.
2009.
OBAMA TOOK OFFICE IN JANUARY OF
THIS IS MILLIONS OF FEDERAL,
STATE, AND LOCAL EMPLOYEES.
WE HAD MORE THAN 22.5 MILLION
EMPLOYEES.
FEDERAL, STATE, AND LOCAL
LOOK WHAT'S HAPPENED.
DO WE HAVE MORE GOVERNMENTS
IN -- EMPLOYEES IN GOVERNMENT
TODAY THAN WHEN PRESIDENT OBAMA
TOOK OFFICE OR DO WE HAVE LESS?
WE HAVE LESS AND A LOT LESS.
THIS CHART SHOWS VERY CLEARLY
THE NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES HAS GONE
DOWN DRAMATICALLY, DRAMATICALLY
IURING THE YEARS OF
THIS ADMINISTRATION.
MADAM PRESIDENT, FACTS ARE
STUBBORN THINGS.
WEAKNESS?
WHAT IS UNDERLYING OUR CURRENT
WELL, BEFORE THE BUDGET
COMMITTEE WE HAD DR. JOEL
PRAKKEN, THE CHAIRMAN OF
MACROECONOMIC ADVISORS.
THIS IS THE TESTIMONY HE GAVE
EARLIER THIS YEAR.
THE NUMBER-ONE PROBLEM THAT
SMALL BUSINESSES SAY THEY HAVE
TO DEAL WITH RIGHT NOW IS LACK
OF DEMAND.
ATTENTION?
COLLEAGUES, ARE WE PAYING
CAN WE PASS A QUIZ?
WHAT IS THE PROBLEM?
THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF DEMAND.
FURTHER, TAX INCREASES OR
FURTHER SPENDING CUTS WILL ONLY
WEAKEN DEMAND IN THE SHORT TERM.
SO WE GOT TO BE PAYING ATTENTION
TO WHAT WE DO HERE.
SOME OF OUR COLLEAGUES SAY JUST
SLASH SPENDING SOME MORE.
MAKE GOVERNMENT EVEN SMALLER.
DEMAND.
GUESS WHAT THAT WILL DO TO
IT WILL WEAKEN IT.
THAT WILL MAKE THE ECONOMIC
RECOVERY EVEN MORE TEPID, EVEN
WEAKER.
THAT IS NOT THE ANSWER.
YES, IT IS ABSOLUTELY THE CASE
OVER THE LONGER TERM.
WE HAVE GOT TO BE AGGRESSIVE AT
REDUCING SPENDING, REFORMING
ENTITLEMENTS AND REFORMING THE
TAX SYSTEM.
I'VE BEEN PART OF VIRTUALLY
EVERY EFFORT HERE TO DO THAT.
PART OF THE BLOALS SIMPSON AND
THE GROUP OF SIX, BUT WE'VE GOT
TO BE ABLE TO WALK AND CHEW GUM
AT THE SAME TIME AND WE NEED TO
UNDERSTAND WHAT WE NEED HERE IS
A TWO-STEP STRATEGY.
ONE, STRENGTHEN GROWTH IN THE
SHORT TERM AND THEN PIVOT AND
DEAL WITH OUR DEFICITS AND DEBT
OVER THE LONGER TERM.
BUT WE CANNOT GET CONFUSED ABOUT
THIS AND THINK THAT THE ANSWER
IS TO IMPOSE -- IMPOSE
IMMEDIATE AUSTERITY NOW.
ALREADY IMPOSED A FAIR
AMOUNT OF US AUSTERITY WHICH I'LL
GET INTO IN A MINUTE WITH THE
BUDGET CUTS THAT WERE INCLUDED
IN THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT PASSED
LAST YEAR.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I WANT TO
REPEAT THE TESTIMONY OF DR.
PRAKKE NORTHWESTERN.
THE NUMBER ONE PROBLEM THAT
SMALL BUSINESSES SAY THEY HAVE
TO DEAL WITH RIGHT NOW IS LACK
OF DEMAND.
THEY DO NOT SAY ACCESS TO
CAPITAL, THEY DO NOT SAY BURDEN
OF REGULATION.
THEY SAY THEIR ORDER BOOKS ARE
THIN.
COLLEAGUES, LET'S PAY ATTENTION
TO WHAT THE PROBLEM IS.
WEAK DEMAND.
WE'VE GOT TO TAKE STEPS TO
STRENGTHEN DEMAND IN THE SHORT
TERM WHILE AT THE SAME TIME
PUTTING IN PLACE A LONGER-TERM
PLAN TO GET US BACK ON TRACK
WITH OUR NATION'S FINANCES.
WHEN WE LOOK AT THAT WEAK
DEMAND, ONE REASON WE HAVE A
WEAK DEMAND IS WE HAVE MADE WEAK
INVESTMENTS IN INFRASTRUCTURE.
WE ARE COMPARED TO
OUR GLOBAL COMPETITORS.
CHINA IS INVESTING 9% OF THEIR
PUBLIC SPENDING ON
INFRASTRUCTURE.
EUROPE, 5%.
HERE WE ARE, AT 2.4%.
ONE OF THE REASONS WE HAVE A
WEAK RECOVERY IS WE ARE NOT
INVESTING SUFFICIENTLY IN
ROADS, BRIDGES, AIRPORTS,
RAIL, AND AS A RESULT, OUR
INFRASTRUCTURE ACROSS AMERICA IS
BECOMING SECOND RATE.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THAT'S ABOUT
AS CLEAR AS IT CAN BE AND I HEAR
MY COLLEAGUES SAY, WELL, OUR
PROBLEM IS THE SENATE HAS NOT
PASSED A BUDGET IN OVER A
THOUSAND DAYS.
YOU KNOW, SOMETIMES I WONDER IF
OUR COLLEAGUES PAY VERY CLOSE
ATTENTION TO WHAT THEY'RE VOTING
ON HERE.
BECAUSE LAST YEAR INSTEAD OF A
BUDGET RESOLUTION, WE PASSED
THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT, A LAW.
NOW, WHAT'S THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN A RESOLUTION AND A LAW?
I THINK ALMOST ANY HIGH SCHOOL
STUDENT CAN TELL YOU A
RESOLUTION IS WEAKER THAN A LAW.
AND AND YET OUR COLLEAGUES
CONTINUE TO COME TO THE FLOOR
AND COMPLAIN AND SAY WE HAVE NOT
PASSED A RESOLUTION IN MORE THAN
A THOUSAND DAYS.
THAT'S TRUE.
WHAT WE DID DO IS PASS A LAW
CALLED THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT.
WE PASSED IT LAST YEAR
OVERWHELMING VOTE HERE IN THE
UNITED STATES SENATE.
BIPARTISAN VOTE.
IT ALSO PASSED IN THE HOUSE OF
REPRESENTATIVES, AND WAS SIGNED
INTO LAW BY THE PRESIDENT.
A BUDGET RESOLUTION NEVER EVEN
GOES TO THE PRESIDENT.
A BUDGET RESOLUTION IS PURELY A
CONGRESSIONAL DOCUMENT.
SO A LAW IS STRONGER THAN ANY
RESOLUTION.
AND IT'S TRUE, WE DIDN'T PASS A
BUDGET RESOLUTION LAST YEAR.
PASSED A LAW.
CALLED THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT.
AND THAT LAW IN PART SAID THE
ALLOCATIONS,ING A RE GATSZ AND
SPENDING LEVELS SET IN
SUBSECTION B-1 SHALL APPLY IN
THE SENATE, IN THE SAME MANNER
AS FOR A CONCURRENT RESOLUTION
ON THE BUDGET.
BE.
THAT'S ABOUT AS CLEAR AS IT CAN
THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT SAYS THAT
THE SPENDING LEVELS WILL APPLY
IN THE SAME MANNER AS A BUDGET
RESOLUTION.
SO ALL THESE SPEECHES THAT HAVE
BEEN GIVEN, WE HAVEN'T HAD --
WE HAVE NOT HAD A BUDGET
RESOLUTION IN A THOUSAND DAYS,
IS NOT TELLING PEOPLE THE REST
OF THE STORY.
INSTEAD OF A BUDGET RESOLUTION,
THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT.
WE PASSED A BUDGET LAW CALLED
WHAT DID THAT LAW DO?
ONE OF THE THINGS IT DID WAS CUT
SPENDING $900 BILLION OVER THE
NEXT TEN YEARS.
I CAN TELL YOU, IT PUT IN PLACE
TEN YEARS OF SPEND CAPS.
TEN
YEARS OF SPENDING CAPS.
A TYPICAL BUDGET RESOLUTION ONLY
DEALS WITH ONE YEAR.
THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT, THE LAW
THAT WE PASSED LAST YEAR PUT IN
PLACE TEN YEARS OF SPENDING
CAPS, SAVING $900 BILLION.
IN ADDITION, IT SAID WE'RE GOING
TO CREATE A SPECIAL COMMITTEE TO
DEAL WITH THE ENTITLEMENT
PROGRAMS AND THE TAX SYSTEM, AND
WE'RE GOING TO SAY TO THAT
SPECIAL COMMITTEE IF YOU CAN
COME TO AN AGREEMENT, YOU WILL
NOT FACE A FILIBUSTER, YOU WILL
NOT FACE DELAYS, YOU WILL BE
ABLE TO BRING THAT PROPOSAL
RIGHT TO THE FLOOR OF THE UNITED
STATES SENATE AND GET A VOTE.
AND THEY FURTHER SAID BUT IF YOU
DON'T AGREE, THERE WILL BE
TRILLION OF
SPENDING CUTS IMPOSED.
AND OF COURSE WE ALL KNOW NOW
AGREE.
THE SPECIAL COMMITTEE COULDN'T
AND SO THAT ADDITIONAL $1.2
TRILLION OF SPENDING CUTS IS NOW
THE LAW OF THE LAND ON TOP OF
THE $900 BILLION OF SPENDING
CUTS THAT WAS IN THE BUDGET
CONTROL ACT AS WELL.
SO LET'S DO THE MATH.
$900 BILLION OF DISCRETIONARY
SAVINGS IN THE BUDGET CONTROL
ACT PLUS THE SEQUESTER, THE $1.2
TRILLION OF ADDITIONAL SPENDING
CUTS FOCUSED ON DEFENSE AND
NON-DEFENSE DISCRETIONARY
SPENDING FOR A TOTAL OF $2.1
TRILLION OF SPENDING CUTS THAT
WERE IN THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT
PASSED LAST YEAR THAT IS NOW THE
LAW OF THE LAND.
THAT IS THE BIGGEST SPENDING CUT
PACKAGE IN THE HISTORY OF THE
UNITED STATES.
THINK FACTS ARE
STUBBORN THINGS, AND WE NEED TO
REMIND OUR COLLEAGUES OF WHAT
THE FACTS ARE.
HERE'S ANOTHER UNFORTUNATE FACT.
WE ARE BORROWING 40 CENTS OF
EVERY DOLLAR WE SPEND HERE.
YOU CAN DO THAT FOR AWHILE.
YOU CAN'T DO IT -- YOU CAN'T DO
IT ENDLESSLY.
MADAM PRESIDENT, WE ARE
BORROWING 40 CENTS OF EVERY
DOLLAR THAT WE SPEND, AND SO
WE'VE GOT TO DEAL WITH THAT.
WHAT DOES IT MEAN IN TERMS OF
OUR DEBT?
IT MEANS THIS IS WHAT'S
HAPPENING TO OUR DEBT.
GROSS DEBT AS A PERCENTAGE OF
OUR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT,
UNDER WHAT'S CALLED THE C.B.O.
ALTERNATIVE FISCAL SCENARIO --
THAT'S THEIR PREDICTION OF WHAT
WE MIGHT DO HERE -- SHOWS THE
DEBT, THE GROSS DEBT IN THE
UNITED STATES IS GOING TO BE
104% OF OUR GROSS DOMESTIC
PRODUCT AT THE END OF THIS YEAR.
104% OF OUR GROSS DOMESTIC
PRODUCT.
AND IT SHOWS IF WE DON'T DO
ANYTHING, THAT'S GOING TO GO UP
TO 119%.
OUR GROSS DEBT WILL BE 119% OF
THE SIZE OF OUR ECONOMY BY 2022
IF WE DON'T DO ANYTHING.
THAT IS NOT A PATH THAT WE
SHOULD ALLOW TO BE FOLLOWED.
WHY NOT?
BECAUSE THE BEST ECONOMIC
ANALYSIS THAT HAS BEEN DONE BY
ROW DEPART -- BY REINHART AND
ROGOFF, GROWTH IN A TIME OF DEBT
FOUND THAT ONCE YOU GET A GROSS
DEBT OF MORE THAN 90% OF YOUR
G.D.P., YOUR FUTURE ECONOMIC
PROSPECTS ARE DIMINISHED.
THAT DOESN'T HAPPEN ALL AT ONCE.
IT'S NOT LIKE YOU FALL OFF A
CLIFF WHEN YOU GET TO DEBT,
GROSS DEBT THAT'S 90% OF YOUR
G.D.P.
IT'S MORE LIKE A LONG, SLOW
DECLINE IN TERMS OF YOUR FUTURE
ECONOMIC PROSPECTS.
SO, MADAM PRESIDENT, HERE'S WHAT
AFTER STUDYING
200 YEARS OF ECONOMIC HISTORY,
44 DIFFERENT COUNTRIES.
WE EXAMINED THE EXPERIENCE OF 44
COUNTRIES SPANNING UP TO TWO
CENTURIES OF DATA ON CENTRAL
GOVERNMENT DEBT, INFLATION AND
GROWTH.
OUR MAIN FINDING IS ACROSS BOTH
ADVANCED COUNTRIES AND EMERGING
MARKETS HIGH DEBT TO G.D.P.
LEVELS, 90% AND ABOVE -- AGAIN,
THIS IS GROSS DEBT.
WHEN YOU GET TO A GROSS DEBT OF
90% OR MORE, ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
NOTABLY LOWER GROWTH OUTCOMES.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THIS ISN'T JUST
ABOUT NUMBERS ON A PAGE.
THIS IS ABOUT FUTURE ECONOMIC
PROSPECTS, FUTURE ECONOMIC
OPPORTUNITY, FUTURE JOB
PROSPECTS, FUTURE WEALTH OF A
NATION IS HURT WHEN YOU GET TO A
GROSS DEBT OF MORE THAN 90% OF
YOUR G.D.P.
THE PREVIOUS CHART I SHOWED IS
THAT WE WILL BE AT 104% OF
G.D.P. AT THE END OF THIS YEAR.
WE HAVE GOT TO
FOCUS ON DEFICITS AND DEBT.
BUT WE SHOULD NOT LOSE SIGHT OF
THE FACT THAT YOU CAN'T PIVOT
AND DO THAT WHEN THE ECONOMY IS
WEAK OR YOU'LL MAKE THE ECONOMY
EVEN WEAKER.
SO THE INITIAL STEPS WE NEED TO
TAKE ARE TO STRENGTHEN GROWTH.
AT THE SAME TIME WE OUGHT TO PUT
IN PLACE A PLAN THAT GETS US
BACK ON TRACK FISCALLY.
THE DEALS WITH THIS DEBT -- THAT
DEALS WITH THIS DEBT PROBLEM FOR
THE LONGER TERM.
BECAUSE THIS IS NOT A MATTER OF
YOU GOAT THIS POINT, YOU -- YOU
GET TO THIS POINT, YOU FALL OFF
THE CLIFF.
IT DOESN'T WORK THAT WAY.
WHAT IS CRITICALLY IMPORTANT IS
WE ADOPT THE RIGHT ECONOMIC
POLICIES NOW TO STRENGTHEN THE
ECONOMY, TO LIFT GROWTH.
BUT AT THE SAME TIME TO PUT IN
PLACE A LONGER-TERM PLAN THAT
DEALS WITH DEFICITS AND DEBT.
MADAM PRESIDENT, HERE'S WHERE
THIS IS ACCORDING TO THE
WE FAIL TO ACT.
CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE.
IT'S NONPARTISAN.
WE'VE GOT A DEBT, GROSS DEBT
THAT I WAS REFERENCING BEFORE,
104%.
YOU'LL LOOK AT THIS AND YOU'LL
CHART.
SAY, GEE, IT'S NOT 104% ON THIS
DEBT.
THAT'S BECAUSE THIS IS NOT GROSS
THIS IS DEBT HELD BY THE PUBLIC
WHICH MOST ECONOMISTS LIKE TO
TALK ABOUT.
I TALK ABOUT THE GROSS DEBT
BECAUSE GROSS DEBT INCLUDES WHAT
WE OWE TO THE TRUST FUNDS.
AND THE WORK OF REINHART AND
ROGOFF FOCUSED ON GROSS DEBT.
SO IF WE'RE GOING TO COMPARE
OURSELVES TO THE RESEARCH THEY
DEBT.
DID, WE HAVE TO BE TALKING GROSS
THIS IS DEBT HELD BY THE PUBLIC,
AND THIS IS WHAT C.B.O. SAYS IS
GOING TO HAPPEN TO DEBT HELD BY
THE PUBLIC IF WE FAIL TO ACT.
WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A DEBT MORE
THAN 200% OF G.D.P.
THAT'S THE TRACK WE'RE ON.
TO SOBER UP.
ON TRACK.
WE NEED A PLAN THAT GETS US BACK
AND WHEN WE ANALYZE HOW WE GOT
IN THIS SITUATION, WHAT'S
CRITICAL IS THAT WE LOOK AT
SPENDING AND REVENUE BECAUSE
IT'S THAT MISMATCH THAT LEADS TO
DEFICITS.
IT'S WHEN YOU'RE SPENDING MORE
THAN YOU'RE TALKING IN, IT'S
WHEN YOUR OUTLAYS ARE GREATER
DEFICITS.
THAN YOUR REVENUE THAT YOU HAVE
AND IT'S THE CUMULATION OF
DEFICITS THAT IS THE DEBT.
RIGH
THE DEBT IS ADDING UP ALL THE
DEFICITS OVER ALL THESE YEARS.
THE RED LINE SHOWS THE SPENDING
OF THE UNITED STATES.
THE GREEN LINE SHOWS THE
REVENUE.
AND WHAT JUMPS OUT AT YOU HERE
AS SPENDING IS AT OR NEAR A
60-YEAR HIGH.
THAT'S NOT SURPRISING BECAUSE WE
JUST HAD THE BIGGEST ECONOMIC
DOWNTURN SINCE THE GREAT
DEPRESSION.
AND WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU HAVE A
STRONG ECONOMIC DOWNTURN?
THE THINGS WE CALL THE AUTOMATIC
STABILIZERS KICK IN TO PREVENT
US FROM GOING INTO A DEPRESSION.
STABILIZERS?
WHAT ARE THE AUTOMATIC
THINGS LIKE UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE.
THINGS LIKE SPENDING PROGRAMS ON
FOOD STAMPS.
OTHER THINGS THAT ARE DONE TO
PREVENT GOING FROM A RECESSION
INTO A DEPRESSION.
AND THOSE THINGS KICKED IN, AND
THE RESULT IS -- AND OF COURSE
WE HAD TARP AND BEAD STIMULUS,
WHICH -- AND WE HAD STIMULUS
WHICH I DEMONSTRATED WORKED I
THINK QUITE EFFECTIVELY.
WITHOUT THEM, THE BEST
ECONOMISTS IN THE COUNTRY TELL
US WE WOULD HAVE BEEN IN A
DEPRESSION.
MADAM PRESIDENT, SPENDING IS AT
OR NEAR A 60-YEAR HIGH.
BUT LOOK AT REVENUE.
60-YEAR
LOW.
LOW REVENUE, HIGH SPENDING, BIG
DEFICITS, BIG ADDITIONS TO DEBT.
THAT'S WHAT'S HAPPENING TO US.
AND YOU CAN SEE THE SPENDING HAS
COME BACK SOMEWHAT NOW.
REVENUE HAS IMPROVED SOMEWHAT.
SO THINGS ARE STARTING TO GET
BETTER.
BUT WE STILL HAVE A BIG GAP AND
A DEFICIT OF $1.2 TRILLION FOR
STAGGERING.
THIS YEAR.
AND THAT OVER TIME HAS GOT TO BE
ADDRESSED.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THE BUDGET
CONTROL ACT THAT WE PASSED LAST
YEAR, THE LAW -- AND OUR FRIENDS
OVER HERE SAY YOU DIDN'T PASS A
BUDGET RESOLUTION FOR 1,000
DAYS.
WOW.
DID THEY FORGET THEY VOTED ON A
LAW CALLED THE BUDGET CONTROL
ACT THAT CUT SPENDING BY THE
BIGGEST AMOUNT IN THE HISTORY OF
THE UNITED STATES?
AND LOOK WHAT'S HAPPENED TO
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING.
UNDER THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT,
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING IS GOING
TO GO TO AN HISTORIC LOW.
ALL THIS TALK ABOUT THE RUNAWAY
SPENDING AROUND HERE, YES,
SPENDING WENT UP WHEN YOU HAD A
DEEP ECONOMIC DECLINE IN ORDER
TO PREVENT THAT DECLINE FROM
BECOMING EVEN WORSE AND BECOMING
A DEPRESSION.
BUT YOU KNOW WHAT?
WE'VE ALREADY TAKEN STEPS TO
REIN THAT SPENDING BACK IN IN
THE FUTURE IN THE BUDGET CONTROL
ACT.
AND LOOK HOW IT'S GOING TO DO.
WE SAW BACK IN 1968
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING.
YOU KNOW, IN FEDERAL SPENDING
THERE ARE TWO KINDS OF SPENDING.
THERE'S MANDATORY SPENDING;
THINGS LIKE SOCIAL SECURITY,
MEDICARE, THAT'S MANDATORY
SPENDING.
THEN THERE'S DISCRETIONARY
SPENDING.
THAT'S THINGS LIKE EDUCATION,
AND PARKS.
AND BACK IN 1968, 13.6% OF
BUDGET OUTLAYS WENT TO
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING.
IN 2012, EVEN AFTER THIS UPTICK,
WE'RE STILL FAR BELOW WHERE WE
HAVE IN 1968.
ONLY 8.4% OF BUDGET OUTLACE ARE
GOING TO STKREGSARY SPENDING.
-- DISCRETIONARY SPENDING.
LOOK WHAT HAPPENS UNDER THE
BUDGET CONTROL ACT.
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING AS A
SHARE OF THE TOTAL BUDGET WILL
DROP TO LESS THAN 5%.
WE HAVEN'T BEEN THERE GOING WAY,
WAY BACK.
THAT'S AN HISTORIC LOW.
SO THOSE WHO SAY WE'VE GOT
RUNAWAY SPENDING, NOTHING'S BEEN
ABOUT IT, THEY HAVEN'T DONE
THEIR HOMEWORK.
AND THEY OBVIOUSLY HAVEN'T PAID
ATTENTION TO THE LAWS THAT HAVE
BEEN PASSED HERE.
THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT THAT
PASSED LAST YEAR IS TAKING US TO
SPENDING FOR DISCRETIONARY
PROGRAMS THAT ARE AN HISTORIC
LOW.
MADAM PRESIDENT, WHERE IS THE
SPENDING GOING UP?
ACCOUNTS.
WELL, IT'S THOSE MANDATORY
THAT'S WHERE THE SPENDING IS
GOING UP.
AND OF COURSE THIS IS THE
PICTURE ON SOCIAL SECURITY.
AGAIN, THIS GOES BACK TO 1972.
G.D.P.
SOCIAL SECURITY WAS 3.3% OF
HERE WE ARE IN 2012, IT IS UP TO
WELL OVER 5% OF G.D.P. AND
HEADED TO OVER 6% OF G.D.P. AS
THE BABY BOOMERS RETIRE.
AND THAT'S NOT A PROJECTION.
THE BABY BOOMERS HAVE BEEN BORN.
THEY'RE ALIVE TODAY.
THEY'RE GOING TO RETIRE.
I'M A BABY BOOMER.
I SEE A NUMBER OF OTHERS IN
FRONT OF ME HERE.
AND THAT'S NOT A PROJECTION.
THAT'S BAKED IN THE CAKE.
SO WE KNOW THAT WE HAVE GONE IN
1972 FROM SOCIAL SECURITY BEING
3.3% OF G.D.P. TO BEING 6% OF
G.D.P.
AND THAT'S NOT BECAUSE WE'VE HAD
INCREASES IN THE PROGRAM.
IT'S BECAUSE WE HAVE INCREASES
IN THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHO ARE
ELIGIBLE FOR THE PROGRAM.
THE SAME IS TRUE IN OTHER
MANDATORY PARTS OF THE THE
BUDGET.
HERE'S MEDICARE.
MEDICARE BACK IN 1972 WAS 1.1%
OF G.D.P.
MEDICARE, MEDICAID, OTHER
FEDERAL HEALTH SPENDING, IF YOU
WAS 1.1%
OF G.D.P.
IN 2050, WE EXPECT THAT TO
INCREASE TO 12.4% OF G.D.P.
12.4% OF G.D.P.
SO IF WE'RE LOOKING FOR WHERE
THE SPENDING IS REALLY
INCREASING, IT'S CERTAINLY NOT
IN THE DOMESTIC ACCOUNTS.
G.D.P.
THAT'S GOING DOWN AS A SHARE OF
SOCIAL SECURITY, WE HAVE SEEN AN
INCREASE BECAUSE OF INCREASED
PEOPLE ELIGIBLE BECAUSE OF THE
BABY-BOOM GENERATION.
BUT THE BIG PLACE THAT WE HAVE
SEEN AN EXPLOSION IS IN THE
HEALTH CARE ACCOUNTS.
THAT'S NOT BECAUSE OF THE LAW
THAT WAS PASSED, WHAT SOME
PEOPLE CALL OBAMACARE.
THAT HAD NOTHING TO DO WITH
THIS.
THIS IS LONG-TERM TRENDS BECAUSE
OF THE INCREASE IN THE COST OF
BABY-BOOM GENERATION.
MEDICINE AND BECAUSE OF THE
REALLY SEE A
LARGE INCREASE IN FEDERAL
SPENDING.
MADAM PRESIDENT, IT'S ALSO
INTERESTING THAT WE'RE SEEING
MEDICARE ENROLLMENT SOARING.
BACK IN 1970, THERE WERE 20
MEDICARE.
MILLION PEOPLE ELIGIBLE FOR
IN 2085, IT IS GOING TO BE 115
MILLION.
SO A KEY REASON WE'RE SEEING
INCREASES IN COSTS IN THE
SO-CALLED MANDATORY PROGRAMS IS
A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN THE
PEOPLE, THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHO
ARE ELIGIBLE.
THAT'S NO FAULT OF THE PROGRAM.
THAT'S A DEMOGRAPHIC REALITY.
AND WE'VE GOT TO COPE WITH THIS
REALITY.
IF WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A
MEDICARE PROGRAM THAT GIVES AN
ASSURANCE THAT PEOPLE IN THEIR
SENIOR YEARS HAVE MEDICAL
TREATMENT AVAILABLE TO THEM,
WE'VE GOT TO DEAL WITH THIS
REALITY OF A DRAMATIC INCREASE
IN THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHO ARE
ELIGIBLE FOR MEDICARE.
MADAM PRESIDENT, AN AGING
POPULATION IS THE PRIMARY DRIVER
OF MEDICARE, MEDICAID, AND
SOCIAL SECURITY COST GROWTH.
AN AGING POPULATION.
THE WORLD IS CHANGING.
AS A POPULATION, WE'VE GOT A
MUCH BIGGER GROUP THAN IS
ELIGIBLE FOR THESE PROGRAMS. --
SOCIAL SECURITY, MEDICARE,
MEDICAID.
MY OWN BELIEF IS IT'S ABSOLUTELY
ESSENTIAL THAT THOSE PROGRAMS BE
MAINTAINED IN ORDER FOR OUR
SENIORS TO HAVE A COMFORTABLE
RETIREMENT.
AND IN THEIR AGING YEARS, TO
HAVE SECURITY.
THAT IS THE GENIUS OF SOCIAL
SECURITY AND MEDICARE AND
MEDICAID.
THEY HAVE TRANSFORMED LIFE FOR
PEOPLE IN THEIR SENIOR YEARS.
BUT WE ALSO HAVE THIS REALITY TO
CONFRONT THAT BECAUSE WE HAVE A
GROWING NUMBER, BECAUSE OF THE
BABY-BOOM GENERATION, THE COSTS
TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ARE
SWELLING.
AGAIN, IT IS NOT ON
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING.
THAT'S PART OF THE BUDGET, AS
I'VE DEMONSTRATED -- THAT PART
OF THE BUCKET, AS I'VEOF THE BUDGET, AS I'VE
DEMONSTRATED, IS GOING DOWN.
INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH, THE
MEDICARE TRUSTEES SAY THAT THE
HEALTH REFORM LAW PASSED HAS
REDUCED LONG-TERM MEDICARE
COSTS.
I MEAN, I HEAR PEOPLE,
ESPECIALLY OUR FRIENDS ON THE
SAY THAT THE LAW
THAT WE PASSED HAS INCREASED
THESE COSTS.
THAT'S NOT WHAT THE MEDICARE
TRUSTEES HAVE FOUND.
THE MEDICARE TRUSTEES HAVE SAID,
"PROJECTED MEDICARE COSTS OVER
75 YEARS ARE SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER
THAN THEY OTHERWISE WOULD BE
BECAUSE OF PROVISIONS IN THE ...
'AFFORDABLE CARE ACT' OR A.C.A."
SO, MADAM PRESIDENT, WHEN OUR
COLLEAGUES SAY THEY WANT TO
REPEAL THE AFFORDABLE CARE ACT,
THEY'RE TALKING ABOUT MAKING THE
SITUATION WORSE.
NOT ACCORDING TO KENT CONRAD,
BUT ACCORDING TO THE MEDICARE
TRUSTEES.
THE MEDICARE TRUSTEES SAID,
"PROJECTED MEDICARE COSTS OVER
75 YEARS ARE SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER
THAN THEY OTHERWISE WOULD BE
BECAUSE OF PROVISIONS IN THE ...
'AFFORDABLE CARE ACT'."
SO, OUR COLLEAGUES WHO ARE
SAY THEY WANT TO
REPEAL THE AFFORDABLE CARE ACT,
WE WILL, THEY'REWELL, THEY'RE LINING UP TO
INCREASE MEDICARE COSTS.
AND, BY THE WAY, THEY'RE LINING
UP TO INCREASE THE DEBT, BECAUSE
THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
HAS TOLD US THAT IN THE FIRST
TEN YEARS OF THE AFFORDABLE CARE
ACT, IT SAVES SEVERAL HUNDRED
BILLION DOLLARS UNDER THE
DEFICIT.
BUT IN THE SECOND TEN YEARS, IT
SAVES WELL OVER $1 TRILLION ON
DEFICITS AND DEBT.
LET ME REPEAT THAT.
THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
TELLS US THAT THE AFFORDABLE
CARE ACT THAT SOME OF OUR
COLLEAGUES ARE LINING UP TO
REPEAL WILL REDUCE DEFICITS AND
DEBT IN THE SECOND TEN YEARS BY
WELL OVER A TRILLION DOLLARS.
SO, MY FRIENDS WHO ARE LINING UP
-- THEY WANT TO REPEAL THE
AFFORDABLE CARE ACT -- THEY ARE
LINING UP TO INCREASE MEDICARE
LINING UP TO
INCREASE THE DEBT OF THE UNITED
STATES, ACCORDING TO THE
CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE --
THAT'S NONPARTISAN.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THIS IS WHAT
THE MEDICARE TRUSTEES PROJECT IN
TERMS OF REDUCTION IN MEDICARE
COSTS.
THIS IS THE PERCENT CHANGE IN
AVERAGE PER-BENEFICIARY COST.
FROM 2001 TO 2011 IT WAS UP 94%.
FROM 2011 TO 2020, THEY PREDICT
IT WILL GO UP 37%, A DRAMATIC
SLOWING OF THE RISE IN COST
BECAUSE OF THE AFFORDABLE CARE
ACT.
MADAM PRESIDENT, WE ALSO HEAR
COLLEAGUES ON THE OTHER SIDE SAY
THE ANSWER TO THIS DEFICIT AND
DEBT SITUATION IS TO HAVE
FURTHER TAX CUTS THAT PRIMARILY
BENEFIT THE WEALTHIEST AMONG US.
REALLY?
I'VE JUST SHOWED A CHART THAT
SHOWED OUR REVENUE IS AT OR NEAR
A 60-YEAR LOW.
SO DOES DIGGING THE HOLE DEEPER
MAKE MUCH SENSE BEFORE WE START
TO FILL IT IN?
I DON'T THINK SO.
AND WE HEAR OUR COLLEAGUES SAY,
WELL, IF YOU LOOKED OVER THE
LAST 40 YEARS, REVENUE HAS BEEN
ABOUT 18% OF G.D.P.
THAT'S TRUE.
BUT, YOU KNOW WHAT?
THE FIVE TIMES WE'VE BALANCED
SINCE IS THE 69 THE REVENUE HAS
-- WE'VE BALANCED SINCE 1969,
THE REEF KNEW HAS NOT BEEN AT
18% OF G.D.P.
THE REVENUE HAS BEEN AT 19.% OF
G.D.P., 19.9% OF G.D.P., 19.%,
20.6%, 19.5%.
SO THESE FRIENDS WHO SAY THEY
BUDGET,
LET'S STUDY THEIR NUMBERS.
IT DOESN'T ADD UP.
IT DOESN'T ADD UP.
THEY WANT TO CUT THE REVENUE,
WHICH ALREADY IS AT A 60-YEAR
LOW, CUT IT SOME MORE.
AND THEY SAY, WELL, SOMETIME
IT'S GOING TO GET BACK TOWARDS TOWARDS
IT'S HISTORIC AVERAGE.
IT.
WELL, THAT'S NOT GOING TO CUT
THE TIMES WE HAVE BALANCED THE
BUDGET, REVENUE HAS NOT BEEN AT
18% OF G.D.P.
REVENUE HAS BEEN AT ABOUT 20% OF
G.D.P.
MADAM PRESIDENT, I DON'T KNOW
WHAT COULD BE MORE CLEAR THAT WE
NEED TAX REFORM IN THIS COUNTRY.
THE TAX CODE IS OUT OF DATE,
COMPETITIVENESS.
INEFFICIENT, HURTING U.S. GLOBAL
THE COMPLEXITY IMPOSES
SIGNIFICANT BURDENS ON
INDIVIDUALS AND BUSINESSES.
THE EXPIRING PROVISIONS CREATE
UNCERTAINTY AND CONFUSION.
WE'RE HEMORRHAGING REVENUE TO
THE TAX GAP, TO TAX HAVENS, TO
ABUSIVE TAX SHELTERS.
I'VE SHOWN ON THIS FLOOR MANY
TIMES THE PICTURE OF A LITTLE
FIVE-STORY BUILDING IN THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS CALLED UGLAND
HOUSE.
UGLAND HOUSE, I'M GOING TO PUT
IT IN UP UP IN JUST A MINUTE, CLAIMS
COMPANIES.
TO BE THE HOME TO 18,000
THEY ALL SAY THEY'RE DOING
BUSINESS.
REALLY?
WE'LL TALK ABOUT THAT IN A
MINUTE.
BUT WE NEED TO RESTORE FAIRNESS.
THE CURRENT SYSTEM IS
CONTRIBUTING TO GROWING INCOME
INEQUALITY.
I DON'T KNOW HOW ANYBODY CAN
DENY WE SEE A DRAMATIC GROWTH IN
COUNTRY.
INCOME INEQUALITY IN OUR
ONE OF THE REASONS IS WE HAVE A
TAX CODE THAT FAVORS THOSE AT
THE VERY TOP -- AT LEAST SOME OF
THEM.
IT IS VERY INTERESTING, BECAUSE
NOT ALL -- SOME PEOPLE AT THE
TOP PAY A LOST TAXES.
SOME PEOPLE AT THE TOP AND SOME
COMPANIES PAY NOTHING, EVEN
THOUGH THEY'RE HIGHLY
PROFITABLE.
THAT'S NOT FAIR.
THAT'S NOT RIGHT.
AND IT IS HURTING THE COUNTRY.
AND OUR LONG-TERM FISCAL
IMBALANCE MUST BE ADDRESSED.
REVENUE MUST BE PART OF THE
SOLUTION.
MADAM PRESIDENT, MARTIN
FELDSTEIN, A DISTINGUISHED
CONSERVATIVE ECONOMIST -- NOBODY
EVER ACCUSED MARTIN FELDSTEIN OF
BEING A LIBERAL -- SAID THIS:
"CUTTING TAX EXPENDITURES IS
REALLY THE BEST WAY TO REDUCE
GOVERNMENT SPENDING.
ELIMINATING TAX EXPENDITURES
DOES NOT INCREASE MARGINAL TAX
RATES OR REDUCE THE REWARD FOR
SAVING, INVESTMENT, OR
RISK-TAKING.
IT WOULD ALSO INCREASE OVERALL
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY BY REMOVING
INCENTIVES THAT DISTORT PRIVATE
SPENDING DECISIONS.
AND ELIMINATING OR CONSOLIDATING
THE LARGE NUMBER OF OVERLAPPING
TAX-BASED SUBSIDIES WOULD ALSO
GREATLY SIMPLIFY TAX FILING.
IN SHORT, CUTTING TAX
EXPENDITURES IS NOT AT ALL LIKE
OTHER WAYS OF RAISING REVENUE."
MADAM PRESIDENT, IN THIS CASE, I
THINK MARTIN FELDSTEIN HAS GOT
IT ABOUT RIGHT.
ONE WAY WE COULD RAISE
ADDITIONAL REVENUE IS TO REFORM
THE CURRENT TAX SYSTEM, MAKING
OUR SYSTEM MORE COMPETITIVE AND
AT THE SAME TIME RAISING
ADDITIONAL REVENUE THAT COULD BE
USED TO HELP REDUCE THE DEFICIT,
ALONG WITH REFORM OF ENTITLEMENT
PROGRAMS, ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL
SPENDING RESTRAINT.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THESE TAX
EXPENDITURES GO OVERWHELMINGLY
TO THE TOP 1%.
HERE IS THE INCREASE IN AFTERTAX
AFTER-TAX INCOME FROM TAX
EXPENSED EXPENDITURES.
THE MIDDLE QUINTILE GETS $2, $3,200
A YEAR OF VALUE.
THE TOP 1% GET OVER A QUARTER OF
A MILLION DOLLARS A YEAR.
OVERWHELMINGLY, THESE TAX
EXPENDITURES WHICH ARE NOW
COSTING US $1.2 TRILLION A YEAR
ARE GOING TO THE WEALTHIEST
AMONG US.
AGAIN, NOTHING AGAINST WEALTH OR
PEOPLE SUCCEEDING.
I'M ALL FOR IT.
I AM FOR THERE BEING A FAIR
DISTRIBUTION OF THE BURDEN OF
RAISING THE REVENUE NECESSARY TO
SUPPORT THE COUNTRY.
AND THIS IS NOT FAIR.
IT IS NOT FAIR WHEN THE TOP 1%
GET A QUARTER OF A MILLION
DOLLARS IN VALUE EVERY YEAR FROM
THESE TAX EXPENDITURES THAT GET
ALMOST NO ATTENTION.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THIS IS THE
PICTURE I WAS TALKING ABOUT.
THIS IS A LITTLE BUILDING IN THE
ISLANDS, FIVE-STORY
BUILDING CALLED UGLAND HOUSE.
18,857 COMPANIES CALL THIS
BUILDING "HOME."
REALLY?
WELL, I SAY, THAT'S THE MOST
EFFICIENT BUILDING IN THE WORLD.
CAN YOU IMAGINE ALL THESE
COMPANIES DOING BUSINESS OUT OF
THAT LITTLE BUILDING?
18,857 COMPANIES?
ARE THEY REALLLOY DOING BUSINESS
OUT OF THAT LITTLE BUILDING?
THE ONLY BUSINESS THEY'RE DOING
OUT OF THERE IS MONKEY BUSINESS,
AND THE MONKEY BUSINESS THEY'RE
DOING IS TO AVOID THE TAXES THEY
LEGITIMATELY OWE IN THIS
COUNTRY.
THAT'S WHAT'S GOING ON IN THIS
BUILDING IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
THE AVOIDANCE OF TAXES,
COUNTRY.
LEGITIMATE TAXES, IN THIS
AND IT IS THE REASON THERE ARE
SOME VERY LARGE COMPANIES THAT
EVEN THOUGH THEY'RE HUGELY
PROFITABLE PAY ABSOLUTELY
NOTHING IN TAXES.
RIGHT.
THAT'S NOT FAIR.
AND IT SHOULD BE STOPPED.
AND OUR COLLEAGUES ON THE OTHER
SIDE, THEY DON'T WANT TO STOP IT
IT.
THEY'RE AGAINST IT.
IN FACT, THEY'VE TAKEN A PLEDGE
THAT THEY WON'T INCREASE TAX
REVENUES BY CLOSING DOWN THIS
KIND OF TAX DODGE.
THEY'VE TAKEN A PLEDGE NOT TO DO
ANYTHING ABOUT IT.
VIRTUALLY EVERY REPUBLICAN HAS
TAKEN A PLEDGE THAT THIS WOULD
BE A TAX INCREASE TO SHUT DOWN
THIS KIND OF TAX DODGE.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THAT'S NOT
RIGHT.
NOW, WHEN WE LOOK AT THIS LONGER
LONGER-TERM DEFICIT AND DEBT
PROBLEM -- AND I TRIED TO BE
CLEAR HERE TODAY -- WHAT WE NEED
TO DO IS A TWO-STEP APPROACH.
THE FIRST STEP -- WE NEED MORE
ECONOMIC GROWTH.
NEED THINGS TO SUPPORT THIS
ECONOMIC RECOVERY.
WE NEED MORE INVESTMENT,
CERTAINLY IN INFRASTRUCTURE
WHERE WE ARE FALLING BADLY
BEHIND, BUT REALSO NEED A
COMPREHENSIVE -- BUT WE ALSO
NEED A COMPREHENSIVE LONG-TERM
PLAN TO GET US BACK ON TRACK, TO
DEBT.
FACE UP TO THESE DEFICITS AND
AND WHAT'S THE BEST WAY TO DO
THAT?
WELL, HERE'S WHAT THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE SAY:
THEY SAY, YOU NEED A BALANCED
APPROACH.
CUT SPENDING.
ER YOU KNOW,YOU KNOW, SOME PEOPLE SAY, JUST
PEOPLE ARE.
THAT'S WHERE 17% OF THE AMERICAN
SOME SAY, JUST INCREASE TAXES.
THAT'S WHERE 8% OF THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE ARE.
BUT 62% OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE
SAY, YOU GOT TO DO SOME OF BOTH,
GOT TO CUT SPENDING, YOU GOT TO
A BALANCED PLAN.
RAISE REVENUE, YOU OUGHT TO HAVE
SO, THAT'S WHAT THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE ARE TELLING YOU AND
INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH, THAT'S
WHAT -- ARE TELLING US, AND
INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH, THAT'S
WHAT THE PRESIDENT'S COMMISSION
-- FISCAL COMMISSION CONCLUDED.
THAT'S THE SIMPSON-BOWLES
COMMISSION.
11 OF US SUPPORTED THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF THAT
COMMISSION.
WE TOOK THAT BALANCED APPROACH
AND YES, WE REFORMED THE
REVENUE SYSTEM TO HAVE A MORE
FAIR TAX SYSTEM, TO SHUT DOWN
ABUSIVE TAX HAVENS AND
LOOPHOLES, BUT ALSO TO HAVE
FURTHER SAVINGS ON THE SPENDING
SIDE OF THE EQUATION.
THIS IS AN OVERVIEW OF THE
FISCAL COMMISSION PLAN.
$5.4 TRILLION IN DEFICIT
REDUCTION OVER TEN YEARS.
LOWERED THE DEFICIT TO 1.4% OF
G.D.P. IN 2022 FROM THE PEAK
WHICH IS AROUND 10% OF G.D.P.
STABILIZED THE GROSS DEBT BY
2015, REDUCED DISCRETIONARY
SPENDING TO 4.8% OF G.D.P. BY
2022 WHICH HAS ALREADY BEEN DONE
AS I'VE INDICATED IN THE BUDGET
CONTROL ACT.
BUILD ON HEALTH CARE REFORM
SAVINGS, CALLED FOR SOCIAL
SECURITY REFORM WITH THE SAVINGS
TO BE USED ONLY TO EXTEND THE
LIFE OF SOCIAL SECURITY ITSELF.
SOCIAL SECURITY WAS NOT PART OF
A DEFICIT REDUCTION PLAN BECAUSE
SOCIAL SECURITY HAS NOT BEEN A
CONTRIBUTOR TO BUILDING THESE
DEFICITS AND DEBT.
BUT WE ALSO KNOW SOCIAL SECURITY
IS IN TROUBLE.
ITS SOLVENCY IS IN QUESTION.
AND WE RECOMMENDED ANY CHANGES
TO SOCIAL SECURITY BE PURELY FOR
THE PURPOSE OF EXTENDING THE
LIFE OF SOCIAL SECURITY ITSELF
GIVEN THE INCREDIBLY IMPORTANT
ROLE IT PLAYS IN OUR COUNTRY.
AND WE ALSO INCLUDED FUNDAMENTAL
TAX REFORM TO RAISE REVENUE AND
TO GO AFTER THESE TAX HAVENS,
TO GO AFTER THESE ABUSIVE TAX
SHELTERS.
AND YES, TO ASK THE WEALTHIEST
AMONG US, SOME OF WHOM -- SOME
OF WHOM, NOT ALL -- SOME OF
WHOM HAVE GOTTEN AWAY WITH
PAYING VERY LITTLE, TO ASK THEM
TO PAY THAT ARE FAIR SHARE.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THIS IS WHAT
WOULD HAPPEN TO THE DEFICIT AS A
PERCENTAGE OF G.D.P. UNDER THAT
PLAN.
YOU CAN SEE IT WOULD BE REDUCED
DRAMATICALLY FROM 7.6% OF G.D.P.
IN THIS YEAR TO 1.4% OF G.D.P.
BY 2021.
AND REALLY DRAMATIC REDUCTIONS
AS A PERCENTAGE OF G.D.P. BY
2016.
AND THIS IS WHAT WOULD HAPPEN TO
THE DEBT.
INSTEAD OF THE DEBT CONTINUING
TO GROW TO MORE THAN 119% OF
2022, THAT DEBT WOULD
BE AT 93% OF G.D.P. BY 2022.
SO WE WOULD GET -- IN THE NEAR
TERM DEBT WOULD GO UP SOME
MORE, ABSOLUTELY, BECAUSE WE
GOT TO DEAL WITH THIS ECONOMIC
WEAKNESS BUT OVER THE FULL TEN
YEARS OF THE PLAN, THE DEBT
WOULD BE BROUGHT UNDER CONTROL
AND BE BROUGHT DOWN SOMEWHAT.
MADAM PRESIDENT, THAT'S THE
ELEMENTS OF THE PLAN.
I'D JUST SAY TO MY COLLEAGUES
WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO FIND A
WAY TO COME TOGETHER.
IT'S IMPORTANT TO THE COUNTRY
THAT WE DO.
I'M RETIRING AT THE END OF THIS
YEAR, BUT I WOULD HOPE THAT
WEEKD FIND A -- WE COULD FIND A
WAY TO REFORM THE TAX SYSTEM TO
MAKE IT MORE FAIR, TO REFORM
OUR ENTITLEMENTS IN RECOGNITION
THAT THE BABY BOOM GENERATION IS
UPON US, THEY'RE GOING TO
RETIRE, THEY'RE PUTTING STRESS
THESE PROGRAMS.
THESE PROGRAMS ARE CRITICALLY
IMPORTANT TO LIFE IN AMERICA,
CERTAINLY THE LIFE OF OUR SENIOR
CITIZENS.
AND THAT WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO
DO MORE ABOUT THE DISCRETIONARY
ACCOUNTS.
BUT AS I'VE INDICATED, THE
DISCRETIONARY ACCOUNTS HAVE
ALREADY BEEN HIT REPEATEDLY AND
WE ARE HEADED FOR A SHARE OF OUR
BUDGET GOING TO THE
DISCRETIONARY ACCOUNTS THAT ARE
A RECORD LOW.
SO I PERSONALLY DON'T BELIEVE
GOING BACK AND CUTTING THEM MORE
BEYOND WHAT'S ALREADY BEEN DONE
IN THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT PASSED
LAST YEAR IS A WINNING STRATEGY.
MADAM PRESIDENT, YOU KNOW,
THIS IS AN IMPORTANT AND
DEFINING MOMENT, I THINK, IN
THE COUNTRY'S HISTORY.
THESE ARE PROBLEMS THAT ARE REAL
CERTAINLY TO THE MILLIONS OF
PEOPLE WHO ARE WITHOUT A JOB,
WE HAVE AN ABSOLUTE OBLIGATION
TO DO EVERYTHING WE CAN TO
STRENGTHEN THIS ECONOMY.
WE ALSO HAVE AN ABSOLUTE
OBLIGATION TO TAKE ON THIS DEBT
THREAT BECAUSE THAT HANGS OVER
THE COUNTRY AS WELL.
AND YOU KNOW WHAT?
WE CAN DO THIS.
WE'VE DONE IT BEFORE.
IN THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION WE
GOT BACK TO BALANCED BUDGETS,
AND A STRONG ECONOMIC GROWTH,
THE CREATION OF MORE THAN 20
MILLION JOBS AND A COUNTRY THAT
WAS PROSPERING AND DOING BETTER
THAN ANY COMPETITOR ON THE FACE
OF THE GLOBE.
WE CAN DO IT, AND I BELIEVE WE
WILL.
I THANK THE CHAIR AND YIELD THE
FLOOR.
MADAM PRESIDENT?
THE
SENATOR FROM VERMONT.
MADAM PRESIDENT,
THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE ANGRY.
THEY ARE ANGRY BECAUSE THEY ARE
LIVING THROUGH THE WORST
RECESSION SINCE THE GREAT
DEPRESSION.