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for very long time this country we've been trying to figure out why we saw
crime increase over happily between about the nineteen sixties to the early
nineteen nineties and kevin drum for mother jones wrote this
unbelievable article
uh... about how my could've possibly played a role in advise rents and crime
in this country
now it's ridiculous you know you led to really how's that going to make people
more violent house i can increase crime
well there was a researcher up back in nineteen ninety-four by a team of return
event
he studied as a a consultant for the u_s_ department of housing and urban
development
and with that
out was that uh... ladd was having a negative impact on
of brain development sweater came to high q_
whether it came to dot the prefrontal cortex which actually manages your
behavior uh... in your impulses things like that and he started realizing that
there was eight correlation
uh... between
uh... alleged in the environment and violent crime in fact let's take a quick
look at this you know if you shaped uh... graph and it shows you how with
the increase of leg in the environment you sign increase of crime so again this
is just establishing a correlation not causation but will get to causation just
a second
with had wanted that huge gipp in violent crime in the nineteen nineties
and so many different theories and i remember covering it
and all the ferry was for example in new york while my dad dramatically was
uh... the broken windows theory that if you have one broken window leading many
broken windows so if you fix
with small little things like people jumping a turnstiles in some way of
getting rid of the squeegee men
is guiliani did when he was mayor of new york and build brand uh...
did when he was a police commissioner there it'll actually lead
too
that etc asking
positive effect
and everybody like that theory i like that because it was logical
intimate sense of that would work
here's the part that nobody ever explain and i always thought but we demand there
is
there's a big problem here
because it wasn't just new york that crime went down and nobody could ever
explain it to me and in fact in washington l_a_ dallas
it went down to seventy seventy five percent
and bill bradley was in all those places the investing one of the on allied but
they can do all those same programs
in the nineties impact
in new york wives are going on in nineteen ninety which is three years
before guiliani in brighton got their so there was something always fishy about
that
it whenever you go to any explanation is kevin drum explain in their own you
don't dozens of explanations of why crime went up in the white crime went
down
you would never match the data perfectly
and going into this article i was skeptical website land i'd no one really
uh... you know the assumption or they're not trying to prove that leg is the only
reason why crime happens of course there are different factors that play a role
but today denied that lead does not play a role at all would be naive and there's
overwhelming evidence that proves that
so as i mentioned al you know i rating that and was able to prove or to shell
correlation
however in the nineteen
ease another researcher from harvard university came along jessica radius
that want to show causation and the way that she did that was she pointed to
p_p_ regulations
so that you can get involved in the realize that lead is harmful to our
brain development
uh... and it has a negative impact on the white matter on the brain matter
so recent do whatever is possible to get rid of it from the environment
we started banane leading our gasoline in nineteen ninety six which was fairly
recently on and we also started taking action against leg in housing okay so
homes built built before nineteen sixty
uh... had lead-based paint and there was also alleged cult on windows
so as a result that was having an impact it wasn't forcing us to too much work
as soon as the e_p_a_ got involved
we started seeing more regulations but it was not uniform throughout the entire
country ok so i wanted to great things about that number one
ivy leasing that was the lead in the pain
but it turns out that's not will cause the most fun and it was the leaded
gasoline yes that was the primary driver of all the so it actually literally went
up in the air
and whatever he was for his wife were date because the partly assume is a big
city there's more people
there's nothing to be more crime
it turns out since we have removed the lead from gasoline that's not true small
towns and big cities have the same crime rate and one possible reason that lead
would have had a bigger effect in the big cities is this is more cars in a
smaller area and so the lead to from the gasoline built up more yet affected
people more right and so what and enter in the second one is there a point
sublet you know
like for example by the crisis go down in nineteen ninety that you know we said
six elections in ninety six her point is here let me show you the different
places where we took different action on wed and what it led to so
and this is when you look at all these different studies
what really swung the isn't just new york isn't just one of the studies
it's a cabin mission two or three studies part of whatever smashing here
they did it by city they did it by state lead levels crime
up down okay
big by country yeah no matter where the d_n_a_
you see lead levels go up crime goes up blood levels go down crime goes down
now you know i mean correlation all day long but it was to look at the data
and by the way when you show the data on how light affects the human mind
well that it becomes at event of an overwhelming to end by the way lab as i
mentioned wendy's act anti letter regulations were implemented they
weren't implemented uniformly so even within the united states you would see
these variations right where you would see
crimes decrease as soon as you add take that lead regulations
uh... you know in in that area what would you implement them
so so that's when the harvard university press uh... researcher kids involved and
she shows
she provides further proof to show that it's more than just a correlation
and and you can see how my closet
if eight really leads to these effects in the right in the mind which
apparently dot and let me let me be clear as to why it would make people
more violent
it's because of what it does in the prefrontal cortex write the great matter
of the brain now this is the part that regulates your behavior
so if you gain if you are exposed to too much lead at an early age and you have
that much damage to your prefrontal cortex then you can control impulses
you're more likely to be violent and this is tough disproven by m_r_i_ scans
and more ice can sign
yet and so when you look at uh... and one of the studies the breakdown or
elan's
within the city district by district and wherever they see the highest lead
that contamination
is with the cedar heights about a crime bill but it's a seat
that it's you know if this same areas are poor etcetera
but where there's more lead there's more crime
and so the evidence mounts and mounts a mass and by the way
cc women now working on we've been at unleaded gasoline so we should be the
others that you see of course
crime depict but the lead is not god
unfortunately it has settled in the sort
yak exiled in the soil we ask that we have to take further uh... efforts to
endeavor to dot legends line
also keep in mind that in the summertime when the weather gets extremely dry out
what happens is that so gets picked up into the air novice and we have that
atmospheric lead playing a role in our environment so and of course that has an
impact on our brains
search was first established in the early in the mid-nineteen ninety so why
is it coming up now twice kevin from bring it up now
and how come criminologist never focused on it it's because
for instance law enforcement they wanna make sure that the work that they're
doing is important right private prison cos they wanna make sure that
incarceration incarcerating more people has led to the decrease in crime he made
another great pointed out of that so we're just
over the top on this employees an article
uh... looked at it
pops
wanna say it's all because of the cops and what about the drug warriors to
right any other drug war it's a it's always the drugs give us more money
to do more war on drugs yeah brands in the guiliani for politicians wanted
credit
nobody wins politically if it turns out it's the lead
and so ever resort don't know where they're headed over all the evidence of
but those are
encircled the cleanup in oregon and other so it's not a rat
would take about twenty billion dollars uh... sounds like a lot of money
but uh... kevin drum except compelling case that you would save many multiples
of that
and by the way things are quiet in canton and i don't like and brief cortex
being overweight vital and
can we also just give a quick big ups to the e_p_a_
mhm because the e_p_a_
is the reason why we saw change and regulations when he came to eleven or
gasoline for the one for the e_p_a_ we would continue to see leaded gasoline
let let me and go further on that point possessive twitterrific point
always has already mentioned kozol somewhat deceptive the e_p_a_ had not
dc eric push to go towards a common gasoline give the let out literally
uh... out of our society
that chart one and that you
that shortly disputed kept going up or at least able lies
when this levels of violent crime
which is the level of it
devastating effect you would have on our society
will cost us billions of got trillions of dollars
in lost income yani atlas lines analyst goes on our so that you can see this and
they won't know eliane suffering
by going in that direction and by the way
you know people always say of progressives their week they can't get
anything done
na na na high that's why we studied
money in politics the weather data
mass level in nineteen seventy eight when the supreme court said corporations
have the right to spend on limited money in politics
and they didn't have the unlimited right
to give political donations of full citizens united
but they could have taken to make political
camp they could do lobby in the could use some donations the senate
that night was quorum court right was established in nineteen seventy eight
before then
ralph nader dot nixon to pass the e_p_a_
you know so welfare has done some
questionable things later in august the famous in two thousand
costing more that election and people are strong opinions about that either
way right
but you have a detonator credit man
he the radar mainers at the time
they got pushed uh... that's what they were called the guy who should they got
seat belts they got the dvd n_b_c_
on called millions of lives
so
man whatever they tell you by mel regulation is not necessary
don't believe the height
local what
a difference this man